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Summary

This study introduces a sparse, data-driven discrepancy operator to improve reduced-order models. This method accurately captures model errors from significant simplifications, enhancing predictive reliability.

Keywords:
Bayesian calibration and validationLotka–Volterra equationsdata-driven model correctionmodel errorpartial models

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Area of Science:

  • Computational modeling
  • Applied mathematics
  • Scientific computing

Background:

  • Many scientific and engineering applications utilize reduced-order models focusing on a subset of system dynamics.
  • These partial models often omit numerous species or interactions, leading to inherent model error.
  • Accurate prediction with these simplified models, especially under extrapolation, remains a challenge.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To develop and evaluate a novel embedded, sparse, and data-driven discrepancy operator.
  • To augment partial interaction models and systematically correct for errors introduced by model reduction.
  • To enhance the reliability and predictive capability of reduced-order models under extrapolative conditions.

Main Methods:

  • An embedded discrepancy operator is incorporated into the differential equations of existing partial models.
  • The operator is constructed using sparse, data-driven techniques, requiring only a small fraction of the omitted terms.
  • The operator is constrained by physical information and calibrated across multiple scenarios for robustness.

Main Results:

  • Preliminary results demonstrate that sparse operators can effectively capture model errors arising from severe reductions (e.g., hundreds of terms).
  • The embedded nature of the operator allows for interpretable analysis of its corrective action.
  • The approach shows promise in maintaining physical consistency and robustness across diverse scenarios.

Conclusions:

  • A sparse, data-driven discrepancy operator offers a viable method for augmenting reduced-order models.
  • This technique can mitigate model errors caused by significant simplifications, improving predictive accuracy.
  • The operator's interpretability, physical consistency, and robustness support reliable predictions, particularly in extrapolative regimes.