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Diverticular Disease Epidemiology: Rising Rates of Diverticular Disease Mortality Across Developing Nations
Cameron W Hunt1, Ruchir Chaturvedi, Lev Brown
1Section of Colon and Rectal Surgery, Division of General and Gastrointestinal Surgery, Department of Surgery, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts.
Background:
The incidence of diverticular disease is growing in the Western world. However, the global burden of disease is unknown in the developing world.
Objective:
This study aimed to determine the global burden of diverticular disease as measured by disease-specific mortality while identifying indicators of rising disease rates.
Design:
We undertook an ecological analysis based on data from the World Health Organization Mortality Database. Then, we analyzed global age-adjusted mortality rates from diverticular disease and compared them to national rates of overweight adults, health expenditures, and dietary composition.
Settings:
National vital statistics data were collected.
Patients:
Diverticular disease deaths from January 1, 1994 through December 31, 2016 were evaluated.
Main Outcome Measures:
The primary outcome measured was the national age-adjusted mortality rate.
Results:
The average age-adjusted mortality rate for diverticular disease was 0.51 ± 0.31/100,000 with a range of 0.11 to 1.75/100,000. During the study period, we noted that 57% of nations had increasing diverticular disease mortality rates, whereas only 7% had decreasing rates. More developed nations (40%) than developing nations (24%) were categorized as having high diverticular disease mortality burden over the time period of the study, and developed nations had higher percentages of overweight adults (58.9 ± 3.1%) than developing nations (50.6 ± 6.7%; p < 0.0001). However, developing nations revealed more rapid increases in diverticular disease mortality (0.027 ± 0.024/100,000 per year) than developed nations (0.005 ± 0.025/100,000 per year; p = 0.001), as well as faster expanding proportions of overweight adults (0.76 ± 0.12% per year) than in already developed nations (0.53 ± 0.10% per year; p<0.0001).
Limitations:
Ecological studies cannot define cause and effect.
Conclusions:
There is considerable variability in diverticular disease mortality across the globe. Developing nations were characterized by rapid increases in diverticular disease mortality and expanding percentages of overweight adults. Public health interventions in developing nations are needed to alter mortality rates from diverticular disease. See Video Abstract at http://links.lww.com/DCR/B397. EPIDEMIOLOGÍA DE LA ENFERMEDAD DIVERTICULAR: TASAS CRECIENTES DE MORTALIDAD POR ENFERMEDAD DIVERTICULAR EN LOS PAÍSES EN DESARROLLO: La incidencia de la enfermedad diverticular está creciendo en el mundo occidental. Sin embargo, la carga mundial de la enfermedad es desconocida en el mundo en desarrollo.Determinar la carga global de la enfermedad diverticular medida por la mortalidad específica de la enfermedad mientras se identifican los indicadores de aumento de las tasas de enfermedad.Realizamos un análisis ecológico basado en datos de la Base de datos de mortalidad de la Organización Mundial de la Salud. Luego, analizamos las tasas globales de mortalidad ajustadas por edad por enfermedad diverticular y las comparamos con las tasas nacionales de adultos con sobrepeso, gastos de salud y composición dietética.Datos nacionales de estadísticas vitales.Muertes por enfermedades diverticulares desde el 1 de enero de 1994 hasta el 31 de diciembre de 2016.Tasa nacional de mortalidad ajustada por edad.La tasa promedio de mortalidad ajustada por edad para la enfermedad diverticular fue de 0,51 ± 0,31 / 100,000 con un rango de 0,11 a 1,75 / 100,000. Durante el período de estudio, notamos que el 57% de las naciones tenían tasas crecientes de mortalidad por enfermedades diverticulares, mientras que solo el 7% tenían tasas decrecientes. Las naciones más desarrolladas (40%) que las naciones en desarrollo (24%) se clasificaron como que tienen una alta carga de mortalidad por enfermedad diverticular durante el período de tiempo del estudio, y las naciones desarrolladas tuvieron porcentajes más altos de adultos con sobrepeso (58.9 ± 3.1%) que las naciones en desarrollo (50,6 ± 6,7%) (p <0,0001). Sin embargo, las naciones en desarrollo revelaron aumentos más rápidos en la mortalidad por enfermedades diverticulares (0.027 ± 0.024 / 100,000 por año) que las naciones desarrolladas (0.005 ± 0.025 / 100,000 por año) (p = 0.001), así como proporciones de adultos con sobrepeso en expansión más rápida (0.76 ± 0.12% por año) que en las naciones ya desarrolladas (0.53 ± 0.10% por año) (p <0.0001).Los estudios ecológicos no pueden definir causa y efecto.Existe una considerable variabilidad en la mortalidad por enfermedad diverticular en todo el mundo. Los países en desarrollo se caracterizaron por un rápido aumento en la mortalidad por enfermedades diverticulares y porcentajes crecientes de adultos con sobrepeso. Se necesitan intervenciones de salud pública en los países en desarrollo para alterar las tasas de mortalidad por enfermedad diverticular. Consulte Video Resumen en http://links.lww.com/DCR/B397.
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