The Association of Histologic and Noninvasive Tests With Adverse Clinical and Patient-Reported Outcomes in Patients...

Fibrosis is an independent predictor of death in nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH). We assessed the associations between histologic and noninvasive tests (NITs) for fibrosis with clinical and patient-reported outcomes (PROs) in advanced NASH.

Patients with advanced NASH (NASH Clinical Research Network stage F3 or F4) were enrolled in 4 multinational clinical trials of simtuzumab and selonsertib. Liver biopsy samples, NIT results, and PROs (Short Form-36, Chronic Liver Disease Questionnaire-NASH, EuroQol-5D, and Work Productivity and Activity Impairment) were prospectively collected.

A total of 2154 patients with advanced NASH were included: 52.5% with F4 NASH, 40% male, 72% with type 2 diabetes, baseline liver stiffness of 24.1 ± 14.2 kPa in F4 disease and 14.6 ± 8.0 kPa in F3 disease, baseline mean Enhanced Liver Fibrosis score of 11.4 ± 1.2 in F4 disease and 10.3 ± 1.0 in F3 disease, and a median follow-up of 16 months. Of those with baseline F3 disease, 16.7% experienced disease progression to cirrhosis, whereas for those with F4 disease, 7.3% experienced clinical events (39% ascites, 24% hepatic encephalopathy); patients who progressed had higher baseline NIT scores (all P < .0001). Adjusted for baseline levels, increases in NIT scores were also associated with increased risk of disease progression in both the F3 and F4 groups (P < .01 for all NITs in F3 and for ELF, NAFLD Fibrosis Score, Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4), and liver stiffness in F4). Higher NIT scores were found to be associated with impairment in PROs: ELF, ≥10.43; Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease Fibrosis Score, ≥1.80; Fibrotest score, ≥0.54; liver stiffness, ≥23.4 kPa. During treatment, patients with decreases in NIT scores experienced improvement of their PRO scores, whereas those with increase in NIT scores had their PRO scores worsen (P < .05).

Baseline NIT scores and their changes over time are predictors of adverse clinical and PROs in patients with advanced NASH. (ClinicalTrials.gov, Numbers NCT01672866, NCT01672879, NCT03053050, and NCT03053063).