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Dynamic trend or static variable: Shock Index Pediatric-Adjusted (SIPA) in warzone trauma
Christopher W Marenco1, Daniel T Lammers1, Woo S Do1
1Department of Surgery, Madigan Army Medical Center, Tacoma, WA, USA.
Journal of Pediatric Surgery
|December 14, 2020
Summary
Trends in the Shock Index Pediatric Adjusted (SIPA) can predict outcomes in pediatric warzone trauma. Persistently abnormal SIPA values indicate worse outcomes, including severe injury and mortality.
Area of Science:
- Pediatric trauma care
- Military medicine
- Physiological monitoring
Background:
- Civilian studies indicate Shock Index Pediatric Adjusted (SIPA) trends predict trauma outcomes.
- Pediatric warzone trauma presents unique challenges in outcome prediction.
- SIPA is a potentially valuable tool for assessing pediatric trauma severity.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the association between SIPA trends and outcomes in pediatric warzone trauma patients.
- To determine if SIPA can serve as a predictive biomarker in this specific population.
- To compare outcomes based on different SIPA trend patterns.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective review of the Department of Defense Trauma Registry (2008-2015).
- Inclusion of pediatric patients (age ≤17 years) with trauma.
- Classification of SIPA trends (normal-normal, normal-abnormal, abnormal-normal, abnormal-abnormal) and comparison of outcomes (ICU admission, severe injury, mechanical ventilation, mortality).
Main Results:
- 669 pediatric patients were analyzed, with blast injuries being most common (46.5%).
- Patients with persistently abnormal SIPA (Group 4) showed significantly higher rates of severe injury, ICU admission, mechanical ventilation, and mortality.
- Different SIPA trend groups had varying incidences of adverse outcomes.
Conclusions:
- Trends in SIPA are a significant predictor of outcomes in pediatric warzone trauma.
- Persistently abnormal SIPA values are strongly associated with poorer patient outcomes.
- SIPA monitoring offers a potential method for early risk stratification in pediatric warzone casualties.

