A population-based competing risk survival analysis of patients with salivary duct carcinoma

Salivary duct carcinoma (SDC) is a rare malignancy with high risk of local recurrence and distant metastases of the salivary gland. This study was designed to summarize the clinical and pathological features and to further evaluate them as potential prognostic factors for SDC in the salivary gland.

Clinical data of 266 patients diagnosed with SDC between 2004 and 2015 were collected from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. The prognostic factors affecting overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) were determined by Kaplan-Meier analyses and Cox proportional hazards model. The nomogram was established to predict OS and CSS for SDC. The predictive accuracy of the nomograms was measured by concordance index (C-index).

The 3- and 5-year OS of SDC patients were 67.41% and 47.86%, while the 3- and 5-year CSS were 84.6% and 60.7%, respectively. The primary site, T stage and M stage were identified as independent prognostic factors for OS by the multivariate analysis, whereas N stage, M stage, the presence of multiple primary carcinomas and the treatment modalities were identified as independent prognostic factors for CSS. The C-index values of the prognostic nomogram based the risk factors affecting SDC OS and CSS were 0.703 (0.646-0.760) and 0.771 (0.691-0.851), respectively.

SDC is an aggressive malignancy with a high proportion of advanced stage and lymph node metastases. Patients with increasing age, submandibular gland malignancy, advanced T stage, advanced N stage, advanced M stage, high lymph node ratio (LNR) and the presence of multiple primary carcinomas tend to have unfavorable outcomes. Radiotherapy or chemotherapy improve CSS remarkably. These factors will aid in effective therapeutic treatment modalities for SDC.