[Zonation on non-point source pollution risk in the lower reaches of Zijiang River based on the "source-sink" theory]

Non-point source pollution risk assessment and zonation research are of great significance for the eco-environmental protection and optimization of land use structure. We identified the "source" and "sink" landscape using the "source-sink" landscape pattern theory based on the two phases of land use data in the lower reaches of Zijiang River in 2010 and 2018. We comprehensively considered the non-point source pollution occurrence and migration factors, and used location-weighted landscape contrast index (LCI) and non-point source pollution load index (NPPRI) to analyze non-point source pollution risk spatio-temporal characteristics in the study area. Zonation on non-point source pollution in the lower reaches of Zijiang River was studied by identifying the key factors of non-point source pollution risk. The results showed that the overall risk of non-point source pollution was relatively low. The sub-basin with "sink" landscape was the main type, accounting for 61.2%. Non-point source pollution risk was low in the southwest and was high along the banks of Zhixi River, Taohua River and main stream of Zijiang River, as well as plain in the northeast of the lower Zijiang River. The risk of non-point source pollution from 2010 to 2018 showed an increasing trend. The changes in landscape pattern, especially the expansion of rural settlement, arable land and the shrinkage of forest land had positive and negative responses to the risk of non-point source pollution, respectively. LCI, slope, and distance were the key factors affecting the change of the risk index of non-point source pollution. The lower reaches of the Zijiang River could be divided into four control regions: pollution treatment area near river, low slope pollution control area, ecological restoration-risk prevention and control area, and ecological priority protection area.