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Precision screening for familial hypercholesterolaemia: a machine learning study applied to electronic health
Kelly D Myers1, Joshua W Knowles2, David Staszak3
1The Familial Hypercholesterolemia Foundation, Pasadena, CA, USA; Atomo, Austin, TX, USA.
The Lancet. Digital Health
|December 16, 2020
Summary
Machine learning identified over 1.3 million undiagnosed individuals with familial hypercholesterolaemia (FH), a genetic condition increasing heart attack risk. This accelerates diagnosis and intervention for high-risk patients.
Area of Science:
- Genetics and Genomics
- Cardiovascular Medicine
- Artificial Intelligence in Healthcare
Background:
- Familial hypercholesterolaemia (FH) significantly increases the risk of early heart attacks and strokes.
- Despite its impact, an estimated 90% of individuals with FH remain undiagnosed in the USA.
- Early diagnosis and management are crucial for improving cardiovascular outcomes in FH patients.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop and apply a machine learning model (FIND FH) to accelerate the early diagnosis of familial hypercholesterolaemia.
- To identify over 1.3 million undiagnosed individuals at high risk for cardiovascular events.
- To facilitate timely intervention for individuals with undiagnosed FH.
Main Methods:
- Trained the FIND FH machine learning model using deidentified health-care encounter data from four US institutions.
- Utilized diagnostic codes, prescriptions, and laboratory findings for model training and validation.
- Applied the validated model to large national and integrated health-care delivery system datasets.
Main Results:
- The FIND FH model identified 1,331,759 individuals likely to have familial hypercholesterolaemia in a national database.
- Expert review of flagged individuals confirmed high clinical suspicion warranting further evaluation and treatment.
- The model demonstrated a precision of 0.85 and an ROC AUC of 0.89.
Conclusions:
- The FIND FH machine learning model effectively identifies individuals with familial hypercholesterolaemia across large, diverse datasets.
- This approach can significantly improve the detection rate of undiagnosed FH.
- Accelerated diagnosis through machine learning can lead to earlier interventions and better cardiovascular outcomes.

