A Prognostic Nomogram Model Based on mRNA Expression of DNA Methylation-Driven Genes for Gastric Cancer

The exploration and interpretation of DNA methylation-driven genes might contribute to molecular classification, prognostic prediction and therapeutic choice. In this study, we built a prognostic risk model via integrating analysis of the transcriptome and methylation profile for patients with gastric cancer (GC).

The mRNA expression profiles, DNA methylation profiles and corresponding clinicopathological information of 415 GC patients were downloaded from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA). Differential expression and correlation analysis were performed to identify DNA methylation-driven genes. The candidate genes were selected by univariate Cox regression analyses followed by the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression. A prognostic risk nomogram model was then built together with clinicopathological parameters.

5 DNA methylation-driven genes (CXCL3, F5, GNAI1, GAMT and GHR) were identified by integrated analyses and selected to construct the prognostic risk model with clinicopathological parameters. High expression and low DNA hypermethylation of F5, GNAI1, GAMT and GHR, as well as low expression and high DNA hypomethylation of CXCL3 were significantly associated with poor prognosis rates, respectively. The high-risk group showed a significantly shorter prognosis than the low-risk group in the TCGA dataset (HR = 0.212, 95% CI = 0.139-0.322, P = 2e-15). The final nomogram model showed high predictive efficiency and consistency in the training and validation group.

We construct and validate a prognostic nomogram model for GC based on five DNA methylation-driven genes with high performance and stability. This nomogram model might be a powerful tool for prognosis evaluation in the clinic and also provided novel insights into the epigenetics in GC.