External validity of type 2 diabetes clinical trials on cardiovascular outcomes for a multimorbid population
Felippe Lazar Neto1, Thiago Bosco Mendes2, Paulo Marcelo Pontes Gomes Matos1
1Department of Internal Medicin, Faculdade de Medicina da Universidade de São Paulo (FMUSP), São Paulo, Brazil.
Aim:
To investigate the external validity of recent antihyperglycaemic trials evaluating cardiovascular outcomes in a multimorbid population.
Materials And Methods:
Selection criteria of 15 randomized controlled trials from the 2020 American Diabetes Association Standard of Care statement were applied in a stepwise manner to tertiary care patients with type 2 diabetes. Primary outcomes were the number of patients eligible per individual trial and for the aggregate of trials. Secondary outcomes included patient predictors of trial eligibility.
Results:
Of 1059 patients, the mean (SD) age was 66 (10.74) years, the median (IQR) Charlson index was 2 (2, 3) and 458 (43%) had documented cardiovascular disease. The median (IQR) number of patients included in individual trials was 263 (174.25-308.75) and 795 (75.1%) of them were eligible for at least one trial. Among those 264 ineligible, 127 (48.1%) had an HbA1c level of 7% or less and no cardiovascular disease; 53.5% and 34.4% of the patients were eligible for two and three different classes of drugs, respectively. The strongest predictor of trial eligibility was cardiovascular disease (risk ratio 2.17, 95% CI 2.01-2.35).
Conclusions:
A considerable proportion of multimorbid patients would be eligible for recent antihyperglycaemic trials. This positive finding can be attributed to development guidance in diabetes trials and the different approach we took, in which we evaluated inclusion by trials as an aggregate.
Insights
Most patients with type 2 diabetes and multiple health conditions are eligible for recent antihyperglycemic drug trials. Cardiovascular disease was the strongest predictor of trial eligibility.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Endocrinology
- Clinical Trials
Background:
- Recent antihyperglycemic trials focus on cardiovascular outcomes in patients with type 2 diabetes.
- Multimorbid populations present unique challenges for trial generalizability.
- External validity of these trials in real-world, complex patient groups requires investigation.
Purpose of the Study:
- To assess the external validity of recent antihyperglycemic drug trials.
- To determine the eligibility of multimorbid patients with type 2 diabetes for these cardiovascular outcome trials.
Main Methods:
- Applied selection criteria from 15 randomized controlled trials (RCTs) to a cohort of tertiary care patients with type 2 diabetes.
- Evaluated patient eligibility for individual trials and an aggregate of trials.
- Identified patient predictors of trial eligibility.
Main Results:
- Of 1059 patients, 75.1% were eligible for at least one trial.
- Cardiovascular disease was the strongest predictor of trial eligibility (risk ratio 2.17).
- Patients were eligible for multiple drug classes, indicating broad applicability.
Conclusions:
- A significant proportion of multimorbid patients with type 2 diabetes meet eligibility criteria for recent antihyperglycemic trials.
- This suggests good external validity, potentially due to trial design guidance and aggregate analysis.
- Findings support the inclusion of diverse, multimorbid populations in future diabetes research.
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