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Different control conditions can produce different effect estimates in psychotherapy trials for depression.
Ioannis Michopoulos1, Toshi A Furukawa2, Hisashi Noma3
1Eating Disorders Unit, 2nd Department of Psychiatry, Medical School, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, 'Attikon' University Hospital, Athens, Greece.
The choice of control group significantly impacts psychotherapy effectiveness estimates for depression. Waiting lists appear to be the weakest control, potentially overestimating treatment effects in meta-analyses.
Area of Science:
- Psychiatry and Mental Health
- Clinical Psychology
- Evidence-Based Medicine
Background:
- The influence of control conditions on the efficacy of psychotherapeutic interventions for depression remains unclear.
- Accurate estimation of treatment effects is crucial for clinical decision-making and guideline development.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate how different control conditions affect effect size estimates in psychotherapy trials for depression.
- To compare the relative strength of various control groups, including Waiting List (WL), No Treatment (NT), Pill Placebo (PillPlacebo), and Psychological Placebo (PsycholPlacebo).
Main Methods:
- A comprehensive literature search was conducted across four major databases (PubMed, PsycINFO, Embase, Cochrane) for randomized trials of psychotherapies for adult depression up to January 1, 2019.
- Network meta-analysis was employed to compare broadly conceived cognitive behavior therapies against different control conditions.
- 123 studies involving 12,596 participants were included in the analysis.
Main Results:
- Heterogeneity was moderate (I-squared = 55.9%), with no significant inconsistency detected in the network meta-analysis (P = 0.44).
- Different control conditions yielded varying estimates of intervention efficacy.
- Waiting List (WL) emerged as the weakest control group, showing higher odds ratios for response compared to No Treatment (NT), Psychological Placebo (PsycholPlacebo), and Pill Placebo (PillPlacebo).
Conclusions:
- The selection of control conditions significantly influences effect estimates in randomized controlled trials of psychotherapy for depression.
- A hierarchy of control group strength was identified: WL < NT < PsycholPlacebo < PillPlacebo.
- Future meta-analyses should avoid pooling diverse control conditions to ensure accurate and reliable efficacy estimates for psychotherapies.
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