Dynamic frailty: Objective physiological assessment to guide management in necrotizing pancreatitis

Physical frailty as a measure of physiological reserve is an important yet understudied topic in necrotizing pancreatitis. We measured frailty metrics in patients with necrotizing pancreatitis at baseline and at 1 month to assess dynamic change. We hypothesized that greater baseline frailty and steeper decline in frailty biomarkers are associated with worse outcomes in necrotizing pancreatitis.

A retrospective analysis of an institutional, necrotizing pancreatitis-specific database was performed. First order outcomes were organ failure, infected necrosis, step-up approach failure, and mortality. Baseline frailty assessment included measurement of comorbid diseases (modified frailty index), nutritional status (prognostic nutritional index), and radiologic sarcopenia (psoas muscle index, Hounsfield unit average calculation). Dynamic frailty was evaluated using psoas muscle index and Hounsfield unit average calculation. Significant associations between baseline and dynamic frailty with outcomes were analyzed.

Three hundred and forty-one patients were included in this study. Most patients were male (65%) with biliary etiology of necrotizing pancreatitis (46%). Baseline comorbid diseases and baseline sarcopenia were not associated with first order outcomes. Lower baseline prognostic nutritional index was associated with organ failure (P < .001) and infected necrosis (P < .001). After 30 days, 25% of patients became sarcopenic. Larger declines in all sarcopenia metrics were associated with organ failure, infected necrosis, and/or death (P < .05). Lower psoas area and density were independent risk factors for organ failure and infected necrosis.

Dynamic changes in sarcopenia-focused frailty metrics were significantly and consistently associated with organ failure, infected necrosis, and death. Further development of a dynamic frailty index to objectively guide decision-making in necrotizing pancreatitis is warranted.