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Built-up area and population density: Two Essential Societal Variables to address climate hazard impact.
D Ehrlich1, T Kemper1, M Pesaresi1
1Joint Research Centre, European Commission, Via Enrico Fermi, 2749, I-21027 Ispra, Italy.
This study introduces Essential Societal Variables (built-up area and population density) to model human activities and climate impacts. These variables aid in understanding urbanization and assessing risks for policy-making and Sustainable Development Goals.
Area of Science:
- Earth and Environmental Sciences
- Human Geography
- Urban Planning
Background:
- Essential Climate Variables are used for climate modeling.
- Understanding human activities and their interaction with climate is crucial for risk assessment and policy-making.
- Existing datasets lack fine-grained global data on human settlements and population distribution.
Purpose of the Study:
- To introduce Essential Societal Variables (ESVs): global built-up area and population density.
- To provide data for modeling human activities and the impact of climate-induced hazards on society.
- To support policy-making, crisis management, risk assessment, and monitoring of Agenda 2030 goals.
Main Methods:
- Utilizing Earth observation image archives and national population census data.
- Developing global built-up area and population density layers within the Global Human Settlement Layer (GHSL) project.
- Producing data with fine granularity for multiple epochs (1975, 1990, 2000, 2015) with plans for regular updates.
Main Results:
- Generated global built-up area and population density layers for four distinct time periods.
- Demonstrated the relevance of ESVs for analyzing urbanization processes and assessing exposure to natural hazards.
- Provided examples of ESV application in policy-making and crisis management.
Conclusions:
- Essential Societal Variables offer a valuable complement to Essential Climate Variables for a holistic understanding of global change.
- ESVs are critical for informing policy decisions related to climate change adaptation, mitigation, and sustainable development.
- The GHSL project's data facilitates monitoring progress towards Sustainable Development Goals and enhancing disaster risk reduction strategies.
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