A computational model of liver tissue damage and repair

Drug induced liver injury (DILI) and cell death can result from oxidative stress in hepatocytes. An initial pattern of centrilobular damage in the APAP model of DILI is amplified by communication from stressed cells and immune system activation. While hepatocyte proliferation counters cell loss, high doses are still lethal to the tissue. To understand the progression of disease from the initial damage to tissue recovery or death, we computationally model the competing biological processes of hepatocyte proliferation, necrosis and injury propagation. We parametrize timescales of proliferation (α), conversion of healthy to stressed cells (β) and further sensitization of stressed cells towards necrotic pathways (γ) and model them on a Cellular Automaton (CA) based grid of lattice sites. 1D simulations show that a small α/β (fast proliferation), combined with a large γ/β (slow death) have the lowest probabilities of tissue survival. At large α/β, tissue fate can be described by a critical γ/β* ratio alone; this value is dependent on the initial amount of damage and proportional to the tissue size N. Additionally, the 1D model predicts a minimum healthy population size below which damage is irreversible. Finally, we compare 1D and 2D phase spaces and discuss outcomes of bistability where either survival or death is possible, and of coexistence where simulated tissue never completely recovers or dies but persists as a mixture of healthy, stressed and necrotic cells. In conclusion, our model sheds light on the evolution of tissue damage or recovery and predicts potential for divergent fates given different rates of proliferation, necrosis, and injury propagation.