Predictors of mortality in 217 COVID-19 patients in Northwest Ohio, United States: A retrospective study

Ganesh Prasad Merugu1, Zeid Nesheiwat2, Mamtha Balla3

  • 1Division of Geriatric Medicine, Department of Family Medicine, University of Toledo-Health Sciences, Toledo, Ohio, USA.

Journal of Medical Virology
|December 22, 2020
PubMed

Insights

Low hemoglobin, elevated INR, low platelets, and high procalcitonin levels predict higher COVID-19 mortality. Treatments like antibiotics and intubation, along with complications such as ARDS, also indicate increased risk in patients with coronavirus disease 2019.

Area of Science:

  • Infectious Diseases
  • Critical Care Medicine
  • Clinical Pathology

Background:

  • The COVID-19 pandemic presents a significant global health challenge with high morbidity and mortality.
  • Identifying predictors of mortality is crucial for effective patient management and resource allocation.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To identify specific laboratory markers, complications, and treatments associated with increased mortality in COVID-19 patients.
  • To provide healthcare professionals with key indicators for predicting adverse outcomes in coronavirus disease 2019.

Main Methods:

  • Retrospective study of 217 COVID-19 positive patients admitted to a US hospital.
  • Analysis of laboratory values, complications, and treatments using T-tests and chi-squared analyses.
  • COVID-19 confirmation via polymerase chain reaction.

Main Results:

  • Mortality was associated with low hemoglobin, elevated INR, low platelets, and elevated procalcitonin (p < 0.05).
  • Marginally significant predictors included elevated troponin and creatinine.
  • Treatments (antibiotics, antifungals, antivirals, blood transfusion, steroids, intubation) and complications (ARDS, myocarditis, elevated INR, septic shock, age > 63) were significant predictors of mortality.

Conclusions:

  • Low hemoglobin, elevated INR, low platelets, and elevated procalcitonin are key laboratory predictors of COVID-19 mortality.
  • Specific treatments and complications significantly increase the risk of death in coronavirus disease 2019 patients.
  • Awareness of these predictors is essential for healthcare professionals managing COVID-19.

Related Concept Videos

Factors Affecting Illness01:18

Factors Affecting Illness

When a person's physical, emotional, intellectual, social development or spiritual functioning is compromised, this deviation from a healthy normal state is called illness. Illness creates stress that in turn harms individuals. Irritation, anger, denial, hopelessness, and fear are behavioral and emotional changes an individual experiences in the phases of illness. A variety of factors influence a person's health and well-being.
For instance, risk factors are connected to illness,...
4.8K
Bias in Epidemiological Studies01:29

Bias in Epidemiological Studies

Biases can arise at various stages of research, from study design and data collection to analysis and interpretation. Recognizing and addressing these biases is essential to ensure the validity and reliability of epidemiological findings.Broadly speaking, biases in epidemiology fall into three main categories: selection bias, information bias, and confounding. A more detailed description of possible biases is:  
991
Comparing the Survival Analysis of Two or More Groups01:20

Comparing the Survival Analysis of Two or More Groups

Survival analysis is a cornerstone of medical research, used to evaluate the time until an event of interest occurs, such as death, disease recurrence, or recovery. Unlike standard statistical methods, survival analysis is particularly adept at handling censored data—instances where the event has not occurred for some participants by the end of the study or remains unobserved. To address these unique challenges, specialized techniques like the Kaplan-Meier estimator, log-rank test, and...
410
Pneumonia III: Complications and Assessment01:30

Pneumonia III: Complications and Assessment

Pneumonia poses the potential for numerous complications that warrant consideration. These complications include the following:
626
Factors Affecting the Risk of Infection01:26

Factors Affecting the Risk of Infection

The hosts' susceptibility to infection depends on several factors. The integrity of the skin and mucous membranes helps protect the body against microbial attacks. When the skin is altered, the chance of infection, limb loss, and even death increases.
The integrity and count of the white blood cells help the body resist pathogens and fight infection. When impaired, it reduces the body's resistance to pathogens. The acidic pH levels of the gastrointestinal, genitourinary tracts, and skin...
13.1K