Predictive factors of non-sentinel lymph node disease in breast cancer patients with positive sentinel lymph node

Management of positive sentinel lymph node biopsy (SLNB) in breast cancer remains a matter of debate. Our aim was to evaluate the incidence and identify predictive factors of non-sentinel lymph node metastases.

Retrospective review of all cN0 breast cancer patients treated between January 2013 and December 2017, with positive SLNB that were submitted to ALND.

Of the 328 patients included, the majority of tumors were cT1 or cT2, with lymphovascular invasion in 58.4% of cases. The mean isolated nodes in SLNB was 2.7, with a mean of 1.6 positive nodes, 60.7% with extracapsular extension. Regarding ALND, a mean of 13.9 nodes were isolated, with a mean of 2.1 positive nodes. There was no residual disease in the ALND in 50.9% of patients, with 18.9% having ≥ four positive nodes. In the multivariate analysis, lymphovascular invasion, extracapsular extension in SLN, largest SLN metastases size (>10 mm) and ratio of positive SNL (> 50%) were independent predictors of non-sentinel lymph node metastases. These four factors were used to build a non-pondered score to predict the probability of a positive ALND after a positive SLNB. The AUC of the model was 0.69 and 81% of patients with score = 0 and 65.6% with score = 1 had no additional disease in ALND.

The absence of non-sentinel lymph node metastases in the majority of patients with 1-2 positive SLN with low risk score questions the need of ALND in this population. The identified predictive factors may help select patients in which ALND can be omitted.