Predictors of Nonsentinel Lymph Node Metastasis in Cutaneous Melanoma: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Although completion lymph node dissection (CLND) is not routinely performed for a positive sentinel lymph node (SLN) anymore, adjuvant therapy depends on the risk factors available from SLN biopsy, including the risk of nonsentinel node metastases (NSNM). A systematic review and meta-analysis was performed in an attempt to identify risk factors that could be used to predict the risk of NSNM.

Medline, Web of Science, Embase, and Cochrane were searched for articles discussing predictive factors for NSNM. PRISMA guidelines were followed, and RevMan software was used to calculate pooled odds ratios (OR) using the Mantel-Haenszel test.

Fifty publications were suitable for additional analysis. The clinical and primary tumor factors that were consistently identified as risk factors for NSNMs were: age >50, T stage 3 or 4, Clark level IV/V, ulceration, microsatellitosis, lymphovascular invasion, nodular histology, and extremity versus trunk primary tumor location. SLN factors that predicted NSNMs were >1 positive SLN, SLN micrometastatic tumor burden, diameter >2 mm, extracapsular extension, nonsubcapsular location (Dewar), and Rotterdam > 1 mm or ≥ 0.1 mm.

The findings in this study support that many clinical and pathologic risk factors that can be assessed with SLN biopsy alone can be used to predict the risk of NSNMs. The factors identified in this review should be evaluated in clinical prediction models to predict the risk of NSNMS, a prediction that may be used to select patients for adjuvant therapy in high-risk melanoma.