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Related Experiment Video

Updated: Nov 24, 2025

Setup and Execution of the Rapid Cycle Deliberate Practice Death Notification Curriculum
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Lessons Learned from a Two-Round Delphi-based Scenario Study.

Ulrike Schmalz1,2, Stefan Spinler2, Jürgen Ringbeck2

  • 1Bauhaus Luftfahrt e.V., Willy-Messerschmitt-Strasse 1, 82024 Taufkirchen, Germany.

Methodsx
|December 28, 2020
PubMed
Summary

This study details a five-step Delphi technique process for future-related research questions. It offers practical insights for researchers, emphasizing planning and managing panelist feedback for effective Delphi studies.

Keywords:
ConsensusDelphi methodExpert knowledgeForecastingForesightHierarchical cluster analysisJudgementScenario development

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Area of Science:

  • Methodology
  • Research Methods
  • Social Sciences

Background:

  • The Delphi technique is a structured communication method using anonymity, iteration, and controlled feedback.
  • It is widely applied across disciplines for addressing complex research questions.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To present practical details and lessons learned from a two-round Delphi-based scenario study.
  • To offer a replicable five-step process for applying the Delphi technique to prospective research questions.

Main Methods:

  • A two-round Delphi study incorporating expert interviews and an expert workshop.
  • Development of projections (statements, questions, hypotheses) based on expert input.

Main Results:

  • The Delphi technique provides answers for future-related questions where other methods are unsuitable.
  • Key considerations include planning adequate time for feedback and incorporating dissent for valuable results.

Conclusions:

  • The Delphi technique offers valuable technical insights and guidance for researchers, especially for prospective questions.
  • Utilizing data analytics, software, and online networks can enhance the efficiency and insights of Delphi studies.