Impact of Combined "CHADS-BLED" Score to Predict Short-Term Outcomes in Transfemoral and Transapical Aortic Valve

Verena Veulemans1, Oliver Maier1, Georg Bosbach1

  • 1Division of Cardiology, Pulmonology and Vascular Medicine, Heinrich Heine University, Medical Faculty, Moorenstr. 5, Düsseldorf 40225, Germany.

Insights

The CHADS-BLED score effectively predicts 30-day mortality in transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). High CHADS-BLED scores also indicate increased risks of major vascular events and cerebrovascular insults in TAVR patients.

Area of Science:

  • Cardiovascular Medicine
  • Interventional Cardiology
  • Clinical Risk Stratification

Background:

  • High CHA2DS2-VASC and HAS-BLED scores correlate with increased mortality in cardiovascular interventions.
  • These scores' predictive value in transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) across different access routes needs further investigation.
  • Quantifying risks for 30-day mortality, major vascular/bleeding events (MVASC/BARC), and cerebrovascular insults (CVI) in TAVR is crucial.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To assess the predictive capability of CHA2DS2-VASC, HAS-BLED, and a combined CHADS-BLED score for TAVR outcomes.
  • To compare these scores against established EuroSCORE and STS scores.
  • To evaluate risks stratified by transfemoral (TF) versus transapical (TA) TAVR access routes.

Main Methods:

  • Analysis of 1329 TAVR patients: 980 TF-TAVR and 349 TA-TAVR.
  • Calculation and comparison of CHA2DS2-VASC, HAS-BLED, and CHADS-BLED scores.
  • Evaluation of predictive accuracy (c-index) for 30-day mortality, MVASC/BARC, and CVI.

Main Results:

  • The CHADS-BLED score strongly predicted 30-day mortality in TF-TAVR patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) (c-index: 0.83).
  • STS score predicted mortality in TF-TAVR (c-index: 0.68), and EuroSCORE in TA-TAVR (c-index: 0.66).
  • High CHADS-BLED was associated with increased CVI and MVASC/BARC in all-comers TF-TAVR, but models failed for TA-TAVR outcomes.

Conclusions:

  • The combined CHADS-BLED score is a robust predictor of 30-day mortality in TF-TAVR patients with AF.
  • High CHADS-BLED scores effectively predict major vascular/bleeding events and CVI in TF-TAVR.
  • Current risk models show limited predictive value for TA-TAVR outcomes and non-mortality events in TF-TAVR.
Abstract

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