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Resource-driven colonization by cod in a high Arctic food web.

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Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua) expanded into the Arctic Barents Sea due to warming and high food availability. However, their long-term residency is uncertain as cod abundance impacted prey availability.

Keywords:
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Area of Science:

  • Marine Biology
  • Climate Change Ecology
  • Fisheries Science

Background:

  • Arctic marine ecosystems are experiencing rapid warming and associated species redistributions.
  • The Barents Sea, a key Arctic ecosystem, has seen above-average temperatures and a significant increase in Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua) populations.
  • Divergent bottom temperature trends exist across Barents Sea subregions.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To investigate the influence of food availability and temperature on the northward expansion of Atlantic cod in the Barents Sea.
  • To determine if food availability, indicated by stomach fullness, played a role in cod expansion across areas with different temperature trends.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized a comprehensive dataset on cod stomach fullness, stratified by Barents Sea subregions.
  • Analyzed cod expansion in relation to subregional temperature trends (warming, cooling, no trend).
  • Assessed the role of food availability (stomach fullness) in cod expansion patterns.

Main Results:

  • Greatest cod occupancy increases were observed in three northern subregions with varied temperature trends.
  • Initial high food availability in these northern areas, previously lacking large predators, supported cod expansion.
  • Cod stomach fullness declined rapidly after a few years, indicating a top-down effect on the prey base.

Conclusions:

  • Cod expansion into the Barents Sea is influenced by both temperature and prey availability.
  • The arrival of cod can lead to a rapid depletion of local prey resources.
  • The long-term persistence of cod in the northern Barents Sea is not guaranteed due to these top-down effects.