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Watershed Planning within a Quantitative Scenario Analysis Framework
Published on: July 24, 2016
Quantifying people's experience during flood events with implications for hazard risk communication
Nataliya Tkachenko1,2, Rob Procter2,3, Stephen Jarvis4
1Smith School of Enterprise and the Environment, School of Geography and the Environment, Oxford University Centre for the Environment, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom.
Semantic drift in social media, detected using deep learning and image analysis, can reveal crowd navigation strategies during floods. This helps differentiate between naive and experienced crowds during severe weather events.
Area of Science:
- Distributional semantics
- Natural language processing
- Computer vision
- Social media analysis
Background:
- Semantic drift describes gradual changes in word meanings and sentiments over time, detectable in large text corpora.
- Previous research identified semantic micro-changes in social media related to natural hazards like floods.
- Semantic drift in social media aids in early flood detection and enhances geo-referenced data for event monitoring.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate if images linked to semantically drifted social media tags reflect changes in crowd navigation during floods.
- To determine if deep learning can analyze these image-tag associations to understand crowd behavior.
Main Methods:
- Utilized deep learning models to analyze images associated with 'semantically drifted' social media tags.
- Examined social media data emerging around natural hazard events, specifically floods.
- Applied ontological relationships and corpus analysis techniques from previous work.
Main Results:
- Identified that images linked to semantically drifted tags correlate with altered crowd navigation strategies during floods.
- Demonstrated that alternative social media tags can distinguish between naive and experienced crowds during flood events.
- Showcased the potential of image-tag analysis for understanding crowd responses to varying flood severities.
Conclusions:
- Semantic drift analysis, enhanced by deep learning and image recognition, offers insights into crowd behavior during natural disasters.
- Alternative social media tags provide a nuanced understanding of crowd experience and navigation during floods.
- This approach can improve situational awareness and response strategies for flood events.
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