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The future of ocean governance
Bianca Haas1,2, Mary Mackay3,2, Camilla Novaglio3,2
1Institute for Marine and Antarctic Studies, Private Bag 129, Hobart, TAS 7001 Australia.
Achieving sustainable ocean governance requires addressing resource overexploitation, inequitable benefit distribution, and inadequate adaptation. Implementing co-created management plans and enhancing decision-making can lead to a more sustainable future by 2030.
Area of Science:
- Marine Policy and Management
- Environmental Governance
- Sustainable Development
Background:
- Ocean governance is complex, involving diverse actors with competing interests.
- Current governance faces risks including resource overexploitation, inequitable benefit distribution, and poor adaptation to ocean changes.
- The Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) and UN Ocean Decade provide a framework for improving ocean management.
Purpose of the Study:
- To explore pathways toward more sustainable ocean governance aligned with global goals.
- To identify key governance-related risks threatening ocean health and equity.
- To define drivers shaping future ocean governance and propose actions for a sustainable trajectory.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of governance processes involving states, civil society, local communities, and industry.
- Utilizing the SDGs as a framework to define governance-related risks.
- Identifying key drivers of ocean governance evolution.
- Developing scenarios for 2030: 'Business as Usual' vs. 'More Sustainable Future'.
Main Results:
- Three major governance risks identified: overexploitation, inequitable access/benefits, and inadequate adaptation.
- Five key drivers influencing ocean governance evolution were determined.
- Two future scenarios for 2030 were outlined: a continuation of current trends or a transformational sustainable future.
- Specific actions, including co-created management plans and enhanced decision-making, are proposed to mitigate risks.
Conclusions:
- Transitioning to sustainable ocean governance is achievable through strategic actions.
- Improved management plans, enhanced decision-making, and proactive adaptation are crucial.
- Addressing governance failures is essential for meeting Sustainable Development Goals and ensuring ocean health.
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