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Does COVID-19 affect metro use in Taipei?

Hung-Hao Chang1, Brian Lee1, Feng-An Yang1

  • 1Department of Agricultural Economics, National Taiwan University No 1, Roosevelt Rd, Sec 4, Taipei 10617, Taiwan.

Journal of Transport Geography
|January 18, 2021
PubMed
Summary

The first evidence shows that each new COVID-19 case causally reduced Taipei Metro use by 1.43%. This reduction in public transit ridership stems from perceived health risks, impacting stations near commercial and educational hubs.

Keywords:
COVID-19Difference-in-differencesLockdownsMetro trafficTaipei metro system

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Area of Science:

  • Epidemiology
  • Transportation Science
  • Public Health

Background:

  • Taiwan implemented unique COVID-19 prevention strategies, avoiding strict lockdowns.
  • Understanding the impact of public health crises on urban mobility is crucial.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To provide the first evidence of the causal effect of COVID-19 on metro ridership.
  • To analyze the impact of COVID-19 on the Taipei Metro System.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized real-time administrative data on COVID-19 cases and Taipei Metro ridership.
  • Employed a difference-in-differences model to establish causality.
  • Controlled for socio-demographic variables and international arrivals.

Main Results:

  • A single new COVID-19 case led to a 1.43% decrease in metro usage.
  • Reductions in ridership are linked to perceived health risks associated with public transport.
  • The impact was more significant at stations near night markets, shopping centers, and colleges.

Conclusions:

  • Public perception of health risks significantly influences public transportation use during pandemics.
  • There is a trade-off between the financial burden on transit systems and public health cost savings.
  • Targeted interventions may be needed for high-impact metro stations.