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Updated: Nov 20, 2025

Author Spotlight: Advancements and Challenges in Hepatitis B Virus Detection
Published on: December 15, 2023
Serum hepatitis B core-related antigen level stratifies risk of disease progression in chronic hepatitis B patients
Tai-Chung Tseng1,2,3, Chun-Jen Liu1,2,4, Wan-Ting Yang2
1Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Internal Medicine, National Taiwan University Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan.
Insights
High hepatitis B core-related antigen (HBcrAg) levels in patients with chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection predict increased cirrhosis risk. A low HBcrAg level (<10 KU/mL) identifies a low-risk group for disease progression in those with intermediate viral load.
Area of Science:
- Hepatology
- Virology
- Biomarker Discovery
Background:
- Chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection poses a significant risk for liver disease development.
- Serum hepatitis B core-related antigen (HBcrAg) serves as a novel biomarker reflecting intrahepatic HBV replication.
- Understanding predictors of liver disease progression is crucial for patient management.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the association between elevated HBcrAg levels and the risk of cirrhosis development.
- To specifically assess this risk in patients with intermediate viral load (HBV DNA 2000-19,999 IU/mL).
- To determine if HBcrAg can stratify risk in this moderate-risk patient group.
Main Methods:
- A cohort of 1673 treatment-naïve, non-cirrhotic patients with HBeAg-negative status and normal ALT levels were analyzed.
- Baseline HBcrAg levels were measured and correlated with long-term outcomes, including cirrhosis development.
- Risk stratification was performed using an HBcrAg cutoff of 10 KU/mL, particularly in patients with intermediate viral load.
Main Results:
- Over a mean follow-up of 15.9 years, 104 patients developed cirrhosis.
- Higher baseline HBcrAg levels correlated with increased incidence of cirrhosis, its complications, and liver-related mortality.
- In the intermediate viral load subgroup (n=445), HBcrAg <10 KU/mL was associated with a significantly lower risk of cirrhosis (HR 3.22).
Conclusions:
- Elevated HBcrAg levels are a significant predictor of cirrhosis risk in HBeAg-negative patients with normal ALT.
- The HBcrAg level of <10 KU/mL effectively identifies a low-risk group for disease progression among patients with intermediate HBV viral load.
- HBcrAg serves as a valuable tool for risk stratification in chronic HBV management.
Background:
Patients with chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection are at risk of developing liver disease. Serum hepatitis B core-related antigen (HBcrAg) is a new biomarker for intrahepatic templates for HBV replication.
Aim:
To explore whether a high HBcrAg level is associated with increased risk of cirrhosis, especially in patients with intermediate viral load (HBV DNA 2000-19 999 IU/mL) due to their moderate risk of disease progression.
Methods:
A total of 1673 treatment-naïve, non-cirrhotic patients with negative hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg) and alanine aminotransferase (ALT) level <40 U/L at baseline were enrolled. We explored the relationship between baseline levels of HBcrAg and cirrhosis development in all patients, and whether a higher HBcrAg level (<10 vs ≥10 KU/mL) was associated with an increased risk of disease progression in those with intermediate viral load.
Results:
Of the 1673 patients, 104 developed cirrhosis after a mean follow-up of 15.9 years. Higher HBcrAg levels were associated with increased incidence of cirrhosis, cirrhosis-related complications, and liver-related death. In 445 patients with intermediate viral load, the cirrhosis risk stratified by HBcrAg level of 10 KU/mL yielded a hazard ratio of 3.22 (95% CI: 1.61-6.47). The risk stratification remained significant when exploring other pre-cirrhosis endpoints, including HBeAg-negative hepatitis, hepatitis flare, and HBV DNA >20 000 IU/mL after 3 years of follow-up.
Conclusions:
In HBeAg-negative patients with normal ALT levels, higher HBcrAg levels are associated with increased risk of cirrhosis. Among those with intermediate viral load, HBcrAg <10 KU/mL defines a low-risk group for disease progression.
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