A clinical score for predicting left ventricular reverse remodelling in patients with dilated cardiomyopathy

Left ventricular reverse remodelling (LVRR) is a well-established predictor of a good prognosis in patients with dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM). The prediction of LVRR is important when developing a long-term treatment strategy. This study aimed to assess the clinical predictors of LVRR and establish a scoring system for predicting LVRR in patients with DCM that can be used at any institution.

We consecutively enrolled 131 patients with DCM and assessed the clinical predictors of LVRR. LVRR was defined as an absolute increase in left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) from ≥10% to a final value of >35%, accompanied by a decrease in left ventricular end-diastolic dimension (LVEDD) ≥ 10% on echocardiography at 1 ± 0.5 years after a diagnosis of DCM. The mean patient age was 50.1 ± 11.9 years. The mean LVEF was 32.2 ± 9.5%, and the mean LVEDD was 64.1 ± 12.5 mm at diagnosis. LVRR was observed in 45 patients (34%) at 1 ± 0.5 years. In a multivariate analysis, hypertension [odds ratio (OR): 6.86; P = 0.002], no family history of DCM (OR: 10.45; P = 0.037), symptom duration <90 days (OR: 6.72; P < 0.001), LVEF <35% (OR: 13.66; P < 0.0001), and QRS duration <116 ms (OR: 5.94; P = 0.005) were found to be independent predictors of LVRR. We scored the five independent predictors according to the ORs (1 point, 2 points, 1 point, 2 points, and 1 point, respectively), and the total LVRR predicting score was calculated by adding these scores. The LVRR rate was stratified by the LVRR predicting score (0-2 points: 0%; 3 points: 6.7%; 4 points: 17.4%; 5 points: 48.2%; 6 points: 79.2%; and 7 points: 100%). The cut-off value of the LVRR predicting score was >5 in receiver-operating characteristic curve analysis (area under the curve: 0.89; P < 0.0001; sensitivity: 87%; specificity: 78%). An LVRR predicting score of >5 was an independent predictor compared with the presence of late gadolinium enhancement on cardiovascular magnetic resonance or the severity of fibrosis on endomyocardial biopsy (OR: 11.79; 95% confidence interval: 2.40-58.00; P = 0.002).

The LVRR predicting score using five predictors including hypertension, no family history of DCM, symptom duration <90 days, LVEF <35%, and QRS duration <116 ms can stratify the LVRR rate in patients with DCM. The LVRR predicting score may be a useful clinical tool that can be used easily at any institution.