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Demographic predictors of hospitalization and mortality in US children with COVID-19
Alvaro Moreira1, Kevin Chorath2, Karthik Rajasekaran2
1Department of Pediatrics, University of Texas Health San Antonio, 7702 Floyd Curl Drive, San Antonio, TX, 78229, USA. MoreiraA@uthscsa.edu.
Insights
Children with underlying medical conditions or of African American/mixed race are at higher risk for COVID-19 hospitalization. Comorbidities are the biggest risk factor for pediatric COVID-19 death.
Area of Science:
- Pediatric infectious diseases
- Epidemiology
- Public Health
Background:
- Understanding risk factors for severe COVID-19 in children is crucial.
- Previous studies indicate demographic factors influence pediatric COVID-19 outcomes.
Purpose of the Study:
- To identify predictors of COVID-19 hospitalization and in-hospital death in US children.
- To analyze the impact of underlying medical conditions and race/ethnicity on pediatric COVID-19 outcomes.
Main Methods:
- Linked US Center for Disease Control and Prevention pediatric population data with COVID-19 hospitalization and death records.
- Analyzed data from 27,045 US children with confirmed COVID-19.
- Utilized statistical analysis to determine predictors of hospitalization and death.
Main Results:
- African American (OR 2.28) or mixed-race (OR 2.95) children and those with underlying medical conditions (OR 3.55) showed increased risk for hospitalization.
- In-hospital death occurred in 0.19% of hospitalized children.
- Children with prior medical conditions had a significantly higher odd of death (OR 8.8).
Conclusions:
- While rare, COVID-19 hospitalization and death in children are more likely in those with underlying medical conditions and of African American descent.
- Underlying medical conditions are a stronger predictor of in-hospital death than age, gender, or race/ethnicity in pediatric COVID-19 cases.
Abstract:
Understanding which children are at increased risk for poor outcome with COVID-19 is critical. In this study, we link pediatric population-based data from the US Center for Disease Control and Prevention to COVID-19 hospitalization and in-hospital death. In 27,045 US children with confirmed COVID-19, we demonstrate that African American [OR 2.28 (95% CI: 1.93, 2.70)] or mixed race [OR 2.95 (95% CI: 2.28, 3.82)] and an underlying medical condition [OR 3.55 (95% CI: 3.14, 4.01)] are strong predictors for hospitalization. Death occurred in 39 (0.19%) of 20,096 hospitalized children; children with a prior medical condition had an increased odd for death [OR 8.8 (95% CI: 3.7, 21.1)].Conclusion: Hospitalization and in-hospital death are rare in children diagnosed with COVID-19. However, children at higher risk for these outcomes include those with an underlying medical condition, as well as those of African American descent. What is Known: • Demographic factors are independent prognosticators of poor outcome in children with COVID-19. What is New: • Children with an underlying medical condition and those from an African American or mixed race/ethnicity are at high risk for COVID-19 hospitalization. • History of a comorbidity supersedes age, gender, and race/ethnicity as a risk factor for in-hospital pediatric COVID-19 death.
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