Noninvasive stratification of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease by whole transcriptome cell-free mRNA characterization

Hepatic fibrosis stage is the most important determinant of outcomes in patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). There is an urgent need for noninvasive tests that can accurately stage fibrosis and determine efficacy of interventions. Here, we describe a novel cell-free (cf)-mRNA sequencing approach that can accurately and reproducibly profile low levels of circulating mRNAs and evaluate the feasibility of developing a cf-mRNA-based NAFLD fibrosis classifier. Using separate discovery and validation cohorts with biopsy-confirmed NAFLD (n = 176 and 59, respectively) and healthy subjects (n = 23), we performed serum cf-mRNA RNA-Seq profiling. Differential expression analysis identified 2,498 dysregulated genes between patients with NAFLD and healthy subjects and 134 fibrosis-associated genes in patients with NAFLD. Comparison between cf-mRNA and liver tissue transcripts revealed significant overlap of fibrosis-associated genes and pathways indicating that the circulating cf-mRNA transcriptome reflects molecular changes in the livers of patients with NAFLD. In particular, metabolic and immune pathways reflective of known underlying steatosis and inflammation were highly dysregulated in the cf-mRNA profile of patients with advanced fibrosis. Finally, we used an elastic net ordinal logistic model to develop a classifier that predicts clinically significant fibrosis (F2-F4). In an independent cohort, the cf-mRNA classifier was able to identify 50% of patients with at least 90% probability of clinically significant fibrosis. We demonstrate a novel and robust cf-mRNA-based RNA-Seq platform for noninvasive identification of diverse hepatic molecular disruptions and for fibrosis staging with promising potential for clinical trials and clinical practice.NEW & NOTEWORTHY This work is the first study, to our knowledge, to utilize circulating cell-free mRNA sequencing to develop an NAFLD diagnostic classifier.