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Diagnostic accuracy of fever as a measure of postoperative pulmonary complications
J Roberts1, W Barnes, M Pennock
1Department of Nursing, Faculty of Health Sciences, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada.
Abstract:
Various prevalence rates have been estimated for pulmonary complications after abdominal surgery, and fever has been thought to be a diagnostic indicator. This study quantifies the diagnostic accuracy of fever as a measure of postoperative pulmonary complications and includes the sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values. Assessments using fever and chest x-ray film were determined for 270 patients after elective intra-abdominal surgery in three hospitals with six practicing surgeons in a Southern Ontario city. With use of reliable chest x-ray reports indicating lung pathologic findings as positive for pulmonary complication, the prevalence of a positive finding was 57%. The prevalence of a fever (temperature greater than or equal to 38 degrees C) was 40%. The sensitivity and negative predictive value of fever were slightly below 50%, and the specificity and positive predictive value of fever was 68% and 66% respectively. Fever was an accurate indicator of x-ray evidence of atelectasis in only 56% of the subjects. Therefore, neither the presence nor the absence of fever can assure clinicians of the presence or absence of a postoperative pathologic pulmonary complication such as atelectasis.
Insights
Fever is not a reliable indicator of postoperative pulmonary complications after abdominal surgery. This study found fever
Area of Science:
- Medical research
- Pulmonary medicine
- Surgical outcomes
Background:
- Pulmonary complications are a concern after abdominal surgery.
- Fever is often used as a diagnostic indicator for these complications.
Purpose of the Study:
- To quantify the diagnostic accuracy of fever in identifying postoperative pulmonary complications.
- To determine the sensitivity, specificity, and predictive values of fever.
Main Methods:
- A study involving 270 patients undergoing elective intra-abdominal surgery.
- Diagnostic assessments included monitoring for fever and chest x-ray film analysis.
- Chest x-ray reports were used as the gold standard for identifying pulmonary complications.
Main Results:
- The prevalence of pulmonary complications was 57%, and fever (≥38°C) occurred in 40% of patients.
- Fever had a sensitivity below 50% and a specificity of 68%.
- Fever accurately indicated x-ray evidence of atelectasis in only 56% of cases.
Conclusions:
- Fever is an unreliable indicator for diagnosing postoperative pulmonary complications.
- Neither the presence nor absence of fever can confirm or rule out pulmonary issues like atelectasis.
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