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Published on: January 28, 2020
Risk Stratification Among Survivors of Cardiac Arrest Considered for Coronary Angiography
Ahmed A Harhash1, Teresa L May2, Chiu-Hsieh Hsu3
1University of Arizona Sarver Heart Center, Tucson, Arizona, USA; University of Vermont, Burlington, Vermont, USA.
Insights
Patients with 6 or more unfavorable features after cardiac arrest have a poor prognosis. Invasive procedures may not improve survival in these critical cases, guiding clinical decisions.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Critical Care Medicine
- Public Health
Background:
- Consensus recommendations exist to identify cardiac arrest patients unlikely to benefit from invasive procedures.
- Unfavorable clinical features are key indicators for prognosis in resuscitated cardiac arrest patients.
Purpose of the Study:
- To determine the number of unfavorable features impacting prognosis.
- To identify the most significant features predicting outcomes in cardiac arrest survivors.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of the International Cardiac Arrest Registry (INTCAR) data.
- Individual assessment of 10 proposed unfavorable features on survival to hospital discharge.
- Logistic regression to correlate unfavorable features with poor outcomes.
Main Results:
- Seven unfavorable features were analyzed in 2,508 patients; 39% survived to discharge.
- Key predictors of poor survival included age >85, time-to-ROSC >30 min, and non-shockable rhythm.
- Three or more unfavorable features predicted <40% survival; six or more predicted ≤10% survival.
Conclusions:
- Resuscitated cardiac arrest patients with six or more unfavorable features face a poor long-term prognosis.
- Consideration should be given to delaying or withholding invasive procedures in these patients.
Background:
The American College of Cardiology Interventional Council published consensus-based recommendations to help identify resuscitated cardiac arrest patients with unfavorable clinical features in whom invasive procedures are unlikely to improve survival.
Objectives:
This study sought to identify how many unfavorable features are required before prognosis is significantly worsened and which features are most impactful in predicting prognosis.
Methods:
Using the INTCAR (International Cardiac Arrest Registry), the impact of each proposed "unfavorable feature" on survival to hospital discharge was individually analyzed. Logistic regression was performed to assess the association of such unfavorable features with poor outcomes.
Results:
Seven unfavorable features (of 10 total) were captured in 2,508 patients successfully resuscitated after cardiac arrest (ongoing cardiopulmonary resuscitation and noncardiac etiology were exclusion criteria in our registry). Chronic kidney disease was used in lieu of end-stage renal disease. In total, 39% survived to hospital discharge. The odds ratio (OR) of survival to hospital discharge for each unfavorable feature was as follows: age >85 years OR: 0.30 (95% CI: 0.15 to 0.61), time-to-ROSC >30 min OR: 0.30 (95% CI: 0.23 to 0.39), nonshockable rhythm OR: 0.39 (95% CI: 0.29 to 0.54), no bystander cardiopulmonary resuscitation OR: 0.49 (95% CI: 0.38 to 0.64), lactate >7 mmol/l OR: 0.50 (95% CI: 0.40 to 0.63), unwitnessed arrest OR: 0.58 (95% CI: 0.44 to 0.78), pH <7.2 OR: 0.78 (95% CI: 0.63 to 0.98), and chronic kidney disease OR: 0.96 (95% CI: 0.70 to 1.33). The presence of any 3 or more unfavorable features predicted <40% survival. Presence of the 3 strongest risk factors (age >85 years, time-to-ROSC >30 min, and non-ventricular tachycardia/ventricular fibrillation) together or ≥6 unfavorable features predicted a ≤10% chance of survival to discharge.
Conclusions:
Patients successfully resuscitated from cardiac arrest with 6 or more unfavorable features have a poor long-term prognosis. Delaying or even forgoing invasive procedures in such patients is reasonable.
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