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Published on: September 26, 2018
Cardio-ankle vascular index represents the best surrogate for 10-year ASCVD risk estimation in patients with primary
Mustafa Tarik Agac1, Süret Ağaç2, Muhammed Necati Murat Aksoy1
1Department of Cardiology, Sakarya University Training and Research Hospital, Adapazarı, Turkey.
Insights
Cardio-ankle vascular index (CAVI) best predicts 10-year atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk in hypertensive patients. This marker offers superior accuracy compared to other hypertension-mediated organ damage indicators for risk stratification.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Vascular Biology
- Hypertension Research
Background:
- Accurate risk stratification is crucial for managing hypertensive and hyperlipidaemic patients at intermediate risk.
- Identifying target organ damage and risk-enhancing factors aids treatment decisions.
- 10-year atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk estimates guide clinical management.
Purpose of the Study:
- To compare the efficacy of various hypertension-mediated organ damage (HMOD) markers in predicting 10-year ASCVD risk (≥10%).
- To evaluate HMOD markers in asymptomatic patients with primary hypertension but without established cardiovascular disease (CVD).
Main Methods:
- 137 asymptomatic hypertensive patients aged ≥40 years were enrolled.
- 10-year ASCVD risk was calculated using Pooled Cohort Equations.
- Efficacy of HMOD markers (pulse pressure, LVMI, CIMT, ABI, CAVI, eGFR) was assessed using ROC analysis.
Main Results:
- Cardio-ankle vascular index (CAVI) demonstrated the highest Area Under the Curve (AUC=0.736), followed by carotid intima-media thickness (CIMT, AUC=0.727).
- Left ventricular mass index (LVMI) and pulse pressure (PP) showed moderate predictive value.
- Ankle-brachial index (ABI) and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) were not predictive.
- CAVI showed the strongest correlation with estimated 10-year ASCVD risk (r=0.460) and optimal sensitivity/specificity (71%/72%) for risk ≥10%.
Conclusions:
- Cardio-ankle vascular index (CAVI) is the most effective surrogate marker for predicting 10-year ASCVD risk among the evaluated HMOD markers.
- CAVI provides a graded response to increasing ASCVD risk categories.
- These findings support the utility of CAVI in refining cardiovascular risk assessment in hypertensive individuals.
Abstract:
Background: Identification of target organ damage and/or risk-enhancing factors help treatment decisions in hypertensive and hyperlipidaemic patients who reside in borderline to an intermediate risk category based on 10-year atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk estimates.Aim: In the present study, we aimed to investigate the comparative efficacy of certain hypertension-mediated organ damage markers (HMOD) for the prediction of 10-year ASCVD risk ≥10%, in patients with primary hypertension without established CVD.Methods: One-hundred thirty-seven asymptomatic hypertensive patients ≥40 years of age were enrolled in the present study. Ten-year ASCVD risks were estimated by Pooled Cohort Equations. The following HMOD markers; pulse pressure (PP), left ventricular mass index (LVMI), carotid intima-media thickness (CIMT), ankle-brachial index (ABI), cardio-ankle vascular index (CAVI) and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) were evaluated with respect to efficacy for predicting ≥10% ASCVD risk with ROC analysis.Results: CAVI gave the greatest Area Under Curve (AUC = 0.736, p < .000), and followed by CIMT (AUC = 0.727, p < .000), LVMI (AUC = O.630, p = .01), and PP (AUC = 0.623, p = .02). ABI and eGFR were not found to be predictive. CAVI correlated best with estimated 10-year ASCVD risk (r = 0.460, p < .000). A CAVI value ≥8 was found 71% sensitive and 72% specific for predicting ≥10% risk in 10-year ASCVD risk scale. CAVI gave the best graded response to increments in 10-year ASCVD risk categories.Conclusion: We suggest that CAVI is the best surrogate for 10-year ASCVD risk, among several HMOD markers.
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