Stroke, Timing of Atrial Fibrillation Diagnosis, and Risk of Death

Anjali Bhatla1, Yuliya Borovskiy1, Ronit Katz1

  • 1From the Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, Department of Medicine (A.B., Y.B., M.C.H., J.A., D.J.C., N.C., S.D., A.E.E., D.S.F., F.C.G., R.K., J.J.L., D.L., S.N., M.P.R., P.S., R.D.S., G.E.S., F.M., R.D.), and Department of Neurology (S.R.M., S.E.K.), Perelman School of Medicine at the University of Pennsylvania School of Medicine, Philadelphia; Department of Biostatistics (R.K.), University of Washington, Seattle; and Division of Cardiology (P.J.P.), St. Vincent Medical Group, Indianapolis, IN.

Neurology
|February 4, 2021
PubMed

Insights

Diagnosing atrial fibrillation (AF) after stroke increases mortality risk. Patients with AF diagnosed after stroke (AFDAS) showed the highest risk of death, independent of other factors.

Area of Science:

  • Cardiology
  • Neurology
  • Public Health

Background:

  • Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a common risk factor for ischemic stroke.
  • The prognostic impact of the timing of AF diagnosis relative to stroke onset is not fully understood.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To evaluate the prognosis of patients with ischemic stroke based on the timing of atrial fibrillation (AF) diagnosis.
  • To compare the risk of death among patients with stroke and sinus rhythm, known AF (KAF), or AF diagnosed after stroke (AFDAS).

Main Methods:

  • An inception cohort of incident ischemic stroke events was created.
  • Mortality data were linked with the National Death Index.
  • Cox proportional hazards models were used to assess the association between stroke subtypes and mortality.

Main Results:

  • The study included 1,489 patients: 985 with no AF, 215 with KAF, and 289 with AFDAS (160 diagnosed ≤6 months post-stroke, 129 >6 months).
  • Annualized mortality rates were 8.8% (no AF), 12.2% (KAF), 15.8% (AFDAS ≤6 months), and 12.7% (AFDAS >6 months).
  • Patients with AFDAS diagnosed ≤6 months after stroke had the highest independent risk of all-cause mortality (HR 1.62).

Conclusions:

  • Diagnosing atrial fibrillation after an ischemic stroke is associated with the highest risk of death.
  • This increased mortality risk in the AFDAS group was not attributable to comorbidities or antithrombotic therapy use.
  • The timing of AF diagnosis significantly impacts stroke patient prognosis.
Abstract

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