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Correlation Between Local Air Temperature and the COVID-19 Pandemic in Hubei, China
Cheng-Yi Hu1,2, Lu-Shan Xiao2, Hong-Bo Zhu2,3
1Department of Medical Quality Management, Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, China.
Abstract:
Objective: To clarify the correlation between temperature and the COVID-19 pandemic in Hubei. Methods: We collected daily newly confirmed COVID-19 cases and daily temperature for six cities in Hubei Province, assessed their correlations, and established regression models. Results: For temperatures ranging from -3.9 to 16.5°C, daily newly confirmed cases were positively correlated with the maximum temperature ~0-4 days prior or the minimum temperature ~11-14 days prior to the diagnosis in almost all selected cities. An increase in the maximum temperature 4 days prior by 1°C was associated with an increase in the daily newly confirmed cases (~129) in Wuhan. The influence of temperature on the daily newly confirmed cases in Wuhan was much more significant than in other cities. Conclusion: Government departments in areas where temperatures range between -3.9 and 16.5°C and rise gradually must take more active measures to address the COVID-19 pandemic.
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