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Published on: November 10, 2023
Risk Factors for Severe COVID-19 in Children
Kelly Graff1, Christiana Smith1, Lori Silveira1
1Department of Pediatrics, School of Medicine, University of Colorado, Aurora, CO.
Insights
Severe COVID-19 in children is predicted by extreme age, comorbidities, and elevated C-reactive protein (CRP). These findings help tailor clinical management and pandemic planning for pediatric populations.
Area of Science:
- Pediatric Infectious Diseases
- Epidemiology
- Critical Care Medicine
Background:
- Limited data exists on severe COVID-19 in pediatric populations.
- Understanding risk factors is crucial for effective management and public health strategies.
Purpose of the Study:
- To describe the epidemiology of severe COVID-19 in children.
- To identify risk factors associated with severe COVID-19 outcomes in pediatric patients.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective cohort study of children with SARS-CoV-2 PCR positive tests.
- Analysis of risk factors for severe disease, defined by hospital admission, respiratory support, or critical care.
- Utilized univariable and multivariable statistical analyses.
Main Results:
- Hispanic ethnicity was overrepresented in the pediatric COVID-19 cohort compared to the general hospital population.
- Predictors for severe COVID-19 included extreme age (0-3 months or >20 years), preterm birth history, and comorbidities (immunocompromise, gastrointestinal conditions, diabetes, asthma).
- Elevated C-reactive protein (CRP) levels were significantly associated with the need for critical care.
Conclusions:
- Extremes of age, presence of comorbidities, and elevated CRP are significant predictors of severe COVID-19 disease in children.
- Findings support the need for tailored clinical management and pandemic planning for pediatric patients.
- This research aids public health officials in resource allocation for pediatric COVID-19 response.
Background:
There are limited pediatric data regarding severe COVID-19 disease. Our study aims to describe the epidemiology and identify risk factors for severe COVID-19 disease in children.
Methods:
This is a retrospective cohort study among children with positive SARS-CoV-2 PCR from March to July 2020 at Children's Hospital Colorado. Risk factors for severe disease were analyzed as defined by hospital admission, respiratory support, or critical care. Univariable and multivariable analyses were conducted.
Results:
Among 454 patients identified with SARS-CoV-2, 191 (42.1%) were females, median age 11 years. Fifty-five percent of all patients identified as Hispanic compared with 29% among all hospital visits in 2019 (P < 0.0001). In multivariable analyses, age 0-3 months or >20 years [adjusted odds ratio (aOR), 7.85; P < 0.0001 and aOR, 5.1; P = 0.03, respectively], preterm birth history (aOR, 3.7; P = 0.03), comorbidities [including immunocompromise (aOR, 3.5; P = 0.004), gastrointestinal condition (aOR, 2.7; P = 0.009), diabetes (aOR, 6.6; P = 0.04), asthma (aOR, 2.2; P = 0.04)], and specific symptoms at presentation were predictors for admission. Age 0-3 months or >20 years, asthma, gastrointestinal condition, and similar symptoms at presentation were also predictors for respiratory support. Elevated C-reactive protein was associated with the need for critical care with median of 17.7 mg/dL (IQR, 5.3-22.9) versus 1.95 mg/dL (IQR, 0.7-5.5) among patients requiring critical versus no critical care (OR, 1.2; P = 0.02).
Conclusions:
Extremes of age, comorbid conditions, and elevated CRP are predictors of severe disease in children. Findings from this study can inform pediatric providers and public health officials to tailor clinical management, pandemic planning, and resource allocation.
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