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A Systematic Review on Bleeding Risk Scores' Accuracy after Percutaneous Coronary Interventions in Acute and Elective
Crischentian Brinza1, Alexandru Burlacu1,2,3, Grigore Tinica1,2
1Institute of Cardiovascular Diseases "Prof. Dr. George I.M. Georgescu", 700503 Iasi, Romania.
Insights
Dual antiplatelet therapy (DAT) after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) increases bleeding risk. This review found bleeding risk scores offer modest to good prediction of hemorrhagic events, aiding clinical decision-making.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Clinical Pharmacology
- Medical Informatics
Background:
- Dual antiplatelet therapy (DAT) is standard after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) but increases bleeding risk.
- Predictive models are needed to stratify bleeding risk in patients on DAT.
- This review focuses on bleeding risk scores in the context of modern PCI and antiplatelet agents.
Purpose of the Study:
- To systematically review and assess the performance of existing and emerging bleeding risk scores.
- To evaluate the predictive accuracy of these scores for hemorrhagic events in patients undergoing PCI.
- To understand the utility of these scores in the current clinical landscape.
Main Methods:
- Systematic literature search of PubMed, ScienceDirect, and Cochrane databases.
- Inclusion of studies developing or validating bleeding risk scores in adult PCI patients on DAT.
- Risk of bias assessment using the Prediction Model Risk Of Bias Assessment Tool (PROBAST).
Main Results:
- Eighteen studies were included in the systematic review.
- Bleeding risk scores demonstrated modest to good discriminatory power (C-statistics 0.49-0.82).
- In-hospital bleeding prediction models showed good performance (C-statistics 0.70-0.80).
Conclusions:
- Current bleeding risk scores provide valuable, albeit variable, predictive performance for hemorrhagic events.
- Utilizing these scores in clinical practice can improve the identification of patients at high risk of bleeding.
- Further research may refine these scores for optimal risk stratification in contemporary PCI patients.
Abstract:
Dual antiplatelet therapy (DAT) is recommended for all patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI), as it significantly reduces the ischemic risk at the cost of increasing the incidence of bleeding events. Several clinical predictive models were developed to better stratify the bleeding risk associated with DAT. This systematic review aims to perform a literature survey of both standard and emerging bleeding risk scores and report their performance on predicting hemorrhagic events, especially in the era of second-generation drug-eluting stents and more potent P2Y12 inhibitors. We searched PubMed, ScienceDirect, and Cochrane databases for full-text studies that developed or validated bleeding risk scores in adult patients undergoing PCI with subsequent DAT. The risk of bias for each study was assessed using the prediction model risk of bias assessment tool (PROBAST). Eighteen studies were included in the present systematic review. Bleeding risk scores showed a modest to good discriminatory power with c-statistic ranging from 0.49 (95% CI, 0.45-0.53) to 0.82 (95% CI, 0.80-0.85). Clinical models that predict in-hospital bleeding events had a relatively good predictive performance, with c-statistic ranging from 0.70 (95% CI, 0.67-0.72) to 0.80 (95% CI, 0.73-0.87), depending on the risk scores and major hemorrhagic event definition used. The knowledge and utilization of the current bleeding risk scores in appropriate clinical contexts could improve the prediction of bleeding events.
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