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Baseline CHA2 DS2 -VASc score and prognosis in octogenarians with non-ST segment elevation acute coronary syndrome
Pablo Díez-Villanueva1, Alberto Vera1, Albert Ariza-Solé2
1Cardiology Department, Hospital Universitario La Princesa, Madrid, Spain.
Insights
The CHA2DS2-VASc score, used for atrial fibrillation, is common in elderly patients with acute coronary syndromes but doesn't independently predict outcomes. It
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Geriatric Medicine
- Clinical Risk Stratification
Background:
- The CHA2DS2-VASc score is a standard tool for assessing thromboembolic risk in atrial fibrillation (AF).
- Its utility in predicting outcomes for elderly patients with Non-ST segment Elevation Acute Coronary Syndromes (NSTEACS) remains under investigation.
- This study evaluates the CHA2DS2-VASc score's predictive value in this specific high-risk population.
Purpose of the Study:
- To determine if the CHA2DS2-VASc score predicts clinical outcomes in octogenarian patients diagnosed with NSTEACS.
- To assess the prevalence of high CHA2DS2-VASc scores in this elderly NSTEACS cohort.
- To evaluate the score's independent predictive power for mortality or readmission.
Main Methods:
- A prospective, multicenter registry (LONGEVO-SCA) included 532 patients aged ≥80 years with NSTEACS.
- CHA2DS2-VASc scores were calculated for 523 patients.
- Patients were stratified into low (≤4) and high (5-9) score groups, with outcomes assessed at 6-month follow-up for mortality and readmission.
Main Results:
- Over half (51%) of the elderly NSTEACS patients had a high CHA2DS2-VASc score (≥5).
- Patients with higher scores exhibited more comorbidities, geriatric syndromes, poorer clinical status, and higher rates of new-onset AF.
- A high CHA2DS2-VASc score was associated with increased reinfarction, all-cause mortality, and composite outcomes at 6 months.
Conclusions:
- A CHA2DS2-VASc score >4 is prevalent in octogenarians with NSTEACS and linked to adverse outcomes.
- However, the CHA2DS2-VASc score is not an independent predictor of 6-month events in this population.
- Current recommended risk prediction tools should continue to be utilized for this patient group.
Background:
CHA2 DS2 -VASc Score is widely used to predict thromboembolic risk in patients with Atrial Fibrillation (AF). We sought to study if this score predicts outcomes in elderly patients with Non-ST segment Elevation Acute Coronary Syndromes (NSTEACS).
Methods:
The multicenter LONGEVO-SCA prospective registry included 532 unselected patients with NSTEACS aged ≥80 years. Data to calculate CHA2 DS2 -VASc Score were available in 523 patients (98.3%). They were classified according to CHA2 DS2 -VASc Score: group 1 (score ≤ 4), and 2 (5-9). We studied outcomes in terms of mortality or readmission at 6 months follow-up.
Results:
A total of 266 patients (51%) had a high CHA2 DS2 -VASc Score (group 2). They were more often women, with more cardiovascular risk factors, such as hypertension or diabetes mellitus, and history of previous stroke and cardiovascular disease and heart failure (all, P = .001). Geriatric syndromes (Barthel Index, Lawton Brody, cognitive impairment, and frailty) and Charlson Index were worse in this group (all, P = .001). They had poorer clinical status on admission, with worse Killip class and lower left ventricle ejection fraction (all, P = .001), and developed new-onset AF more often during admission (12.4% vs. 6.6%, P = .024). At six months follow-up, patients in group 2 had higher reinfarction, all-cause mortality, and mortality or readmission rates. A CHA2 DS2 -VASc Score > 4 was associated with mortality or readmission at 6 months (HR 2.07, P < .001). However, after adjusting for potential confounders, this last association was not significant (P = .175).
Conclusions:
A CHA2 DS2 -VASc Score > 4 is present in half of octogenarians with NSTEACS and is associated with poorer outcomes. However, it is not an independent predictor of events and should not replace recommended tools for risk prediction in this setting.
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