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Validation of the pediatric refractory septic shock definition: post hoc analysis of a controlled trial
Luc Morin1, Karthik Narayanan Ramaswamy2, Muralidharan Jayashree2
1Pediatric Intensive Care Unit, Bicêtre Hospital, AP-HP Paris-Saclay University, Le Kremlin-Bicêtre, France.
Insights
The European Society of Pediatric and Neonatal Intensive Care (ESPNIC) refractory septic shock (RSS) definition accurately identifies children with a lethal outcome within 6 hours. This definition, using bedside and computed septic shock scores (bSSS and cSSS), shows high prognostic accuracy for pediatric septic shock mortality.
Area of Science:
- Pediatric Intensive Care Medicine
- Neonatal Intensive Care
- Septic Shock Research
Background:
- The European Society of Pediatric and Neonatal Intensive Care (ESPNIC) established a definition for pediatric refractory septic shock (RSS).
- Both bedside septic shock scores (bSSS) and computed septic shock scores (cSSS) demonstrated a strong correlation with mortality.
- This study evaluated the accuracy of the ESPNIC RSS definition in a prospective Indian cohort.
Purpose of the Study:
- To assess the accuracy of the ESPNIC definition of pediatric refractory septic shock (RSS) in a prospective Indian cohort.
- To determine the prognostic value of the RSS definition for 28-day all-cause mortality in children with septic shock.
- To evaluate the performance of bedside (bSSS) and computed (cSSS) septic shock scores in identifying high-risk pediatric septic shock patients.
Main Methods:
- A post hoc analysis was conducted on data from a double-blind randomized trial involving children with septic shock.
- Sequential bSSS and cSSS data from 60 children were analyzed to assess the ESPNIC RSS definition's prognostic value.
- The study focused on 28-day all-cause mortality as the primary outcome measure.
Main Results:
- Refractory septic shock (RSS) was diagnosed in 58.3% of patients within the first 24 hours.
- Mortality was significantly higher in RSS patients (85.7%) compared to non-RSS patients (8%).
- Both bSSS and cSSS showed high discrimination for death (AUC 0.916 and 0.925, respectively), with optimal prognostication after 12 hours of treatment.
Conclusions:
- The ESPNIC refractory septic shock definition effectively identifies children with a high risk of mortality.
- The definition is accurate within the first 6 hours of managing pediatric septic shock.
- bSSS and cSSS are valuable tools for predicting outcomes in pediatric septic shock.
Background:
The European Society of Pediatric and Neonatal Intensive Care (ESPNIC) developed and validated a definition of pediatric refractory septic shock (RSS), based on two septic shock scores (SSS). Both bedside SSS (bSSS) and computed SSS (cSSS) were found to be strongly associated with mortality. We aimed at assessing the accuracy of the RSS definition on a prospective cohort from India.
Methods:
Post hoc analysis of a cohort issued from a double-blind randomized trial that compared first-line vasoactive drugs in children with septic shock. Sequential bSSS and cSSS from 60 children (single-center study, 53% mortality) were analyzed. The prognostic value of the ESPNIC RSS definition was tested for 28-day all-cause mortality.
Results:
In this septic shock cohort, RSS was diagnosed in 35 patients (58.3%) during the first 24 h. Death occurred in 30 RSS patients (85.7% mortality) and in 2 non-RSS patients (8% mortality), OR = 60.9 [95% CI: 10.5-676.2], p < 0.001 with a median delay from sepsis onset of 3 days [1.0-6.7]. Among patients diagnosed with RSS, the mortality was not significantly different according to vasopressors randomization. Diagnosis of RSS with bSSS and cSSS had a high discrimination for death with an area under the receiver operating curve of 0.916 [95% CI: 0.843-0.990] and 0.925 [95% CI: 0.845-1.000], respectively. High prognostic accuracy of the bSSS was found in the first hours following intensive care admission. The best interval of prognostication occurs after the 12th hour following treatment initiation (AUC 0.973 [95% CI: 0.925-1.000]).
Conclusions:
The ESPNIC refractory septic shock definition accurately identifies, within the first 6 h of septic shock management, children with lethal outcome.
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