The use of negative control outcomes in Mendelian randomization to detect potential population stratification

Eleanor Sanderson1,2, Tom G Richardson1,2, Gibran Hemani1,2

  • 1MRC Integrative Epidemiology Unit at the University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.

Insights

Negative control outcomes can detect population stratification confounding in Mendelian randomization (MR) studies. This method helps identify biases in genetic association studies, particularly for adiposity and education traits, ensuring more reliable research findings.

Area of Science:

  • Epidemiology
  • Genetic Epidemiology
  • Statistical Genetics

Background:

  • Mendelian randomization (MR) relies on instrumental variables (genetic variants) not confounding the exposure-outcome relationship.
  • Population stratification can violate this assumption by creating spurious associations between genetic variants and outcomes.
  • Negative control outcomes are established tools for detecting unobserved confounding in observational studies.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To propose and evaluate the use of negative control outcomes for detecting population stratification in Mendelian randomization (MR) studies.
  • To assess confounding in MR analyses by examining phenotypes determined prior to the exposure and outcome of interest.
  • To identify specific traits (e.g., adiposity, education) prone to population stratification in genome-wide association studies (GWAS).

Main Methods:

  • Utilized a two-sample MR analysis framework.
  • Employed negative control outcomes, defined as phenotypes predating the exposure and outcome.
  • Investigated 33 preselected exposures using GWAS data for self-reported tanning ability and hair color as negative controls.

Main Results:

  • Identified population stratification confounding in GWAS for adiposity and education-related traits.
  • Demonstrated that standard pleiotropy-robust methods may not detect this specific type of bias.
  • Highlighted that MR studies using these traits risk unidentifiable bias due to uncontrolled population stratification.

Conclusions:

  • Negative control outcomes are crucial for detecting population stratification in MR studies.
  • Regular use of negative control outcomes can improve the validity of MR findings.
  • Adiposity and education-related traits require careful handling in MR due to potential confounding by population stratification.

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