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Blood Biomarkers to Predict Long-Term Mortality after Ischemic Stroke
Laura Ramiro1, Laura Abraira2,3, Manuel Quintana2,3
1Neurovascular Research Laboratory, Vall d'Hebron Institute of Research (VHIR), Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, 08035 Barcelona, Spain.
Insights
Identifying specific blood biomarkers like endostatin, tumor necrosis factor receptor-1 (TNF-R1), and interleukin-6 (IL-6) can help predict long-term mortality after ischemic stroke. These biomarkers, combined with clinical factors, improve risk assessment for stroke patients.
Area of Science:
- Biomedical research
- Clinical neurology
- Translational medicine
Background:
- Stroke is a leading global cause of death and disability.
- Accurate prediction of long-term mortality after stroke remains a significant clinical challenge.
- Identifying novel prognostic biomarkers is crucial for improving patient management and outcomes.
Purpose of the Study:
- To identify blood biomarkers measured during acute ischemic stroke that predict long-term mortality.
- To evaluate the independent predictive value of a 14-biomarker panel in conjunction with clinical factors.
- To assess the association of specific biomarkers with stroke-related mortality.
Main Methods:
- Prospective recruitment of 941 ischemic stroke patients in the Stroke-Chip study.
- Analysis of a 14-biomarker panel using immunoassays in blood samples at hospital admission.
- Application of multiple Cox regression models for multivariate analysis of clinical variables and biomarkers, with Z-score standardization.
Main Results:
- Age, female sex, hypertension, glycemia, and NIHSS score were independent predictors of long-term mortality.
- Elevated levels of endostatin, TNF-R1, and IL-6 (all > quartile 2) were independently associated with long-term mortality.
- Combining these three biomarkers increased mortality risk by up to 69% and improved predictive discrimination.
- Endostatin > quartile 3 independently predicted mortality due to stroke.
Conclusions:
- Circulating levels of endostatin, TNF-R1, and IL-6 are valuable predictors of long-term mortality after ischemic stroke.
- These biomarkers, when added to clinical predictors, enhance the accuracy of mortality risk assessment.
- The findings suggest potential for incorporating these biomarkers into clinical practice for post-stroke prognostication.
Abstract:
Stroke is a major cause of disability and death globally, and prediction of mortality represents a crucial challenge. We aimed to identify blood biomarkers measured during acute ischemic stroke that could predict long-term mortality. Nine hundred and forty-one ischemic stroke patients were prospectively recruited in the Stroke-Chip study. Post-stroke mortality was evaluated during a median 4.8-year follow-up. A 14-biomarker panel was analyzed by immunoassays in blood samples obtained at hospital admission. Biomarkers were normalized and standardized using Z-scores. Multiple Cox regression models were used to identify clinical variables and biomarkers independently associated with long-term mortality and mortality due to stroke. In the multivariate analysis, the independent predictors of long-term mortality were age, female sex, hypertension, glycemia, and baseline National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score. Independent blood biomarkers predictive of long-term mortality were endostatin > quartile 2, tumor necrosis factor receptor-1 (TNF-R1) > quartile 2, and interleukin (IL)-6 > quartile 2. The risk of mortality when these three biomarkers were combined increased up to 69%. The addition of the biomarkers to clinical predictors improved the discrimination (integrative discriminative improvement (IDI) 0.022 (0.007-0.048), p < 0.001). Moreover, endostatin > quartile 3 was an independent predictor of mortality due to stroke. Altogether, endostatin, TNF-R1, and IL-6 circulating levels may aid in long-term mortality prediction after stroke.
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