Age and multimorbidities as poor prognostic factors for COVID-19 in hemodialysis: a Lebanese national study
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Mabel Aoun1,2, Rabab Khalil3, Walid Mahfoud4
1Department of Nephrology, Saint-George Hospital Ajaltoun, Ajaltoun, Lebanon. aounmabel@yahoo.fr.
Insights
Older age, heart failure, coronary artery disease, multimorbidities, fever, and pneumonia increase mortality risk for hemodialysis patients with COVID-19. This national study found a 23.8% death rate, comparable to international figures.
Area of Science:
- Nephrology
- Infectious Diseases
- Public Health
Background:
- Patients undergoing chronic hemodialysis face elevated mortality risk from COVID-19 compared to the general population.
- Previous research identified prognostic factors in Asian, European, and American populations.
- This study represents the first national investigation in Lebanon on SARS-CoV-2 mortality factors in hemodialysis patients.
Purpose of the Study:
- To identify demographic, comorbidity, and clinical factors associated with mortality in Lebanese hemodialysis patients diagnosed with SARS-CoV-2.
- To provide a national perspective on risk factors for COVID-19 related deaths in this vulnerable patient group.
Main Methods:
- An observational study was conducted on chronic hemodialysis patients in Lebanon who tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 between March 31 and November 1, 2020.
- Retrospective data collection included demographics, comorbidities, hospitalization details, and outcomes from patient medical records.
- Binary logistic regression analysis was employed to determine risk factors for mortality.
Main Results:
- The study included 231 patients with a mean age of 61.46 years; 52.8% were male.
- A significant mortality rate of 23.8% was observed, with a median time to death of 6 days.
- Adjusted analysis revealed increased mortality risk associated with older age, heart failure, coronary artery disease, multimorbidities, fever, high CRP levels, and pneumonia.
Conclusions:
- Older age, heart failure, coronary artery disease, multimorbidities, fever, and pneumonia are significant risk factors for death in Lebanese hemodialysis patients with COVID-19.
- The observed 23.8% mortality rate in this cohort is comparable to rates reported in other countries.
- Findings underscore the need for targeted preventive and therapeutic strategies for high-risk hemodialysis patients during the COVID-19 pandemic.
Background:
Hemodialysis patients with COVID-19 have been reported to be at higher risk for death than the general population. Several prognostic factors have been identified in the studies from Asian, European or American countries. This is the first national Lebanese study assessing the factors associated with SARS-CoV-2 mortality in hemodialysis patients.
Methods:
This is an observational study that included all chronic hemodialysis patients in Lebanon who were tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 from 31st March to 1st November 2020. Data on demographics, comorbidities, admission to hospital and outcome were collected retrospectively from the patients' medical records. A binary logistic regression analysis was performed to assess risk factors for mortality.
Results:
A total of 231 patients were included. Mean age was 61.46 ± 13.99 years with a sex ratio of 128 males to 103 females. Around half of the patients were diabetics, 79.2% presented with fever. A total of 115 patients were admitted to the hospital, 59% of them within the first day of diagnosis. Hypoxia was the major reason for hospitalization. Death rate was 23.8% after a median duration of 6 (IQR, 2 to 10) days. Adjusted regression analysis showed a higher risk for death among older patients (odds ratio = 1.038; 95% confidence interval: 1.013, 1.065), patients with heart failure (odds ratio = 4.42; 95% confidence interval: 2.06, 9.49), coronary artery disease (odds ratio = 3.27; 95% confidence interval: 1.69, 6.30), multimorbidities (odds ratio = 1.593; 95% confidence interval: 1.247, 2.036), fever (odds ratio = 6.66; 95% confidence interval: 1.94, 27.81), CRP above 100 mg/L (odds ratio = 4.76; 95% confidence interval: 1.48, 15.30), and pneumonia (odds ratio = 19.18; 95% confidence interval: 6.47, 56.83).
Conclusions:
This national study identified older age, coronary artery disease, heart failure, multimorbidities, fever and pneumonia as risk factors for death in patients with COVID-19 on chronic hemodialysis. The death rate was comparable to other countries and estimated at 23.8%.
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