An Integrative Approach for Improved Assessment of Cardiovascular Safety Data

Cardiovascular adverse effects in drug development are a major source of compound attrition. Characterization of blood pressure (BP), heart rate (HR), stroke volume (SV), and QT-interval prolongation are therefore necessary in early discovery. It is, however, common practice to analyze these effects independently of each other. High-resolution time courses are collected via telemetric techniques, but only low-resolution data are analyzed and reported. This ignores codependencies among responses (HR, BP, SV, and QT-interval) and separation of system (turnover properties) and drug-specific properties (potencies, efficacies). An analysis of drug exposure-time and high-resolution response-time data of HR and mean arterial blood pressure was performed after acute oral dosing of ivabradine, sildenafil, dofetilide, and pimobendan in Han-Wistar rats. All data were modeled jointly, including different compounds and exposure and response time courses, using a nonlinear mixed-effects approach. Estimated fractional turnover rates [h^-1, relative standard error (%RSE) within parentheses] were 9.45 (15), 30.7 (7.8), 3.8 (13), and 0.115 (1.7) for QT, HR, total peripheral resistance, and SV, respectively. Potencies (nM, %RSE within parentheses) were IC = 475 (11), IC = 4.01 (5.4), EC = 50.6 (93), and IC = 47.8 (16), and efficacies (%RSE within parentheses) were I = 0.944 (1.7), I = 1.00 (1.3), E = 0.195 (9.9), and I = 0.745 (4.6) for ivabradine, sildenafil, dofetilide, and pimobendan. Hill parameters were estimated with good precision and below unity, indicating a shallow concentration-response relationship. An equilibrium concentration-biomarker response relationship was predicted and displayed graphically. This analysis demonstrates the utility of a model-based approach integrating data from different studies and compounds for refined preclinical safety margin assessment. SIGNIFICANCE STATEMENT: A model-based approach was proposed utilizing biomarker data on heart rate, blood pressure, and QT-interval. A pharmacodynamic model was developed to improve assessment of high-resolution telemetric cardiovascular safety data driven by different drugs (ivabradine, sildenafil, dofetilide, and pimobondan), wherein system- (turnover rates) and drug-specific parameters (e.g., potencies and efficacies) were sought. The model-predicted equilibrium concentration-biomarker response relationships and was used for safety assessment (predictions of 20% effective concentration, for example) of heart rate, blood pressure, and QT-interval.