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Published on: November 10, 2023
Global Population Aging, National Development Level, and Vulnerability to the Pandemic
Bocong Yuan1, Jiannan Li2, Hairong Zhao1
1School of Tourism Management, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, People's Republic of China.
Population aging increases COVID-19 cases and deaths, especially in older males. Developing nations face higher mortality risks, highlighting the need for targeted public health policies.
Area of Science:
- Gerontology
- Epidemiology
- Public Health
Background:
- Population aging is a global demographic trend.
- National development levels vary significantly worldwide.
- Understanding disease dynamics in diverse populations is crucial for effective health policy.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate how population aging and national development influence COVID-19 progression.
- To inform preparedness strategies and policy development for novel coronavirus disease.
Main Methods:
- Multisource data from the World Bank and Johns Hopkins COVID-19 Dashboard were utilized.
- Regression analysis was performed to assess associations.
Main Results:
- Population aging correlated positively with confirmed COVID-19 cases at days 10, 20, and 30.
- Association between population aging and mortality emerged by day 20.
- Higher proportions of older males, particularly aged 70-74, indicated increased risk for cases and deaths.
- National development level did not affect case numbers, but developing countries showed higher mortality risks at days 10 and 20.
Conclusions:
- Targeted prevention and control policies are needed for older adults.
- Underdeveloped areas require specific attention in public health strategies.
- Further research into sex-based differences in COVID-19 outcomes is warranted.
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