Predictors of mortality in COPD exacerbation cases presenting to the respiratory intensive care unit

Studies report high in-hospital mortality of acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD) especially for those requiring admission to an intensive care unit. Recognizing factors associated with mortality in these patients could reduce health care costs and improve end-of-life care.

This retrospective study included AECOPD patients admitted to the respiratory intensive care unit of a tertiary hospital in Beijing from Jan 1, 2011 to Dec 31, 2018. Patients demographic characteristics, blood test results and comorbidities were extracted from the electronic medical record system and compared between survivors and non-survivors.

We finally enrolled 384 AECOPD patients: 44 (11.5%) patients died in hospital and 340 (88.5%) were discharged. The most common comorbidity was respiratory failure (294 (76.6%)), followed by hypertension (214 (55.7%)), coronary heart disease (115 (29.9%)) and chronic heart failure (76 (19.8%)). Multiple logistic regression analysis revealed that independent risk factors associated with in-hospital mortality included lymphocytopenia, leukopenia, chronic heart failure and requirement for invasive mechanical ventilation.

The in-hospital mortality of patients with acute COPD exacerbation requiring RICU admission is high. Lymphocytes < 0.8 × 10⁹/L, leukopenia, requirement for invasive mechanical ventilation, and chronic heart failure were identified as risk factors associated with increased mortality rates.