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Updated: Nov 15, 2025

Predictive Immune Modeling of Solid Tumors
Published on: February 25, 2020
Digital Immunophenotyping Predicts Disease Free and Overall Survival in Early Stage Melanoma Patients
Francesco De Logu1, Francesca Galli2, Romina Nassini1
1Section of Clinical Pharmacology and Oncology, Department of Health Sciences, University of Florence, 50100 Florence, Italy.
Background:
the prognostic significance of tumor infiltrating lymphocytes (TILs) in intermediate/thick primary cutaneous melanoma (PCM) remains controversial, partially because conventional evaluation is not reliable, due to inter-observer variability and diverse scoring methods. We aimed to assess the prognostic impact of the density and spatial distribution of immune cells in early stage intermediate/thick PCM.
Materials And Methods:
digital image acquisition and quantitative analysis of tissue immune biomarkers (CD3, CD4, CD8, CD68, PD-L1, CD163, FOX-P3, and PD-1) was carried out in a training cohort, which included patients with primary PCM ≥ 2 mm diagnosed, treated, and followed-up prospectively in three Italian centers. Results were validated in an independent Italian cohort.
Results:
in the training cohort, 100 Stage II-III melanoma patients were valuable. At multivariable analysis, a longer disease free survival (DFS) was statistically associated with higher levels of CD4+ intratumoral T-cells (aHR [100 cell/mm2 increase] 0.98, 95%CI 0.95-1.00, p = 0.041) and CD163+ inner peritumoral (aHR [high vs. low] 0.56, 95%CI 0.32-0.99, p = 0.047). A statistically significant longer DFS (aHR [high-high vs. low-low] 0.52, 95%CI 0.28-0.99, p = 0.047) and overall survival (OS) (aHR [high-high vs. low-low] 0.39, 95%CI 0.18-0.85, p = 0.018) was found in patients with a high density of both intratumoral CD8+ T-cells and CD68+ macrophages as compared to those with low density of both intratumoral CD8+ T-cells and CD68+ macrophages. Consistently, in the validation cohort, patients with high density of both intratumoral CD8+ and CD3+ T-cells were associated to a statistically better DFS (aHR[high-high vs. low-low] 0.24, 95%CI 0.10-0.56, p < 0.001) and those with high density of both intratumoral CD8+ and CD68+ were associated to a statistically longer OS (aHR[high-high vs. low-low] 0.28, 95%CI 0.09-0.86, p = 0.025).
Conclusion:
our findings suggest that a specific preexisting profile of T cells and macrophages distribution in melanomas may predict the risk of recurrence and death with potential implications for the stratification of stage II-III melanoma patients.
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