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Artificial Intelligence to Get Insights of Multi-Drug Resistance Risk Factors during the First 48 Hours from ICU
Inmaculada Mora-Jiménez1, Jorge Tarancón-Rey1, Joaquín Álvarez-Rodríguez2
1Department of Signal Theory and Communications, Telematics and Computing Systems, Rey Juan Carlos University, 28943 Fuenlabrada, Madrid, Spain.
Abstract:
Multi-drug resistance (MDR) is one of the most current and greatest threats to the global health system nowadays. This situation is especially relevant in Intensive Care Units (ICUs), where the critical health status of these patients makes them more vulnerable. Since MDR confirmation by the microbiology laboratory usually takes 48 h, we propose several artificial intelligence approaches to get insights of MDR risk factors during the first 48 h from the ICU admission. We considered clinical and demographic features, mechanical ventilation and the antibiotics taken by the patients during this time interval. Three feature selection strategies were applied to identify statistically significant differences between MDR and non-MDR patient episodes, ending up in 24 selected features. Among them, SAPS III and Apache II scores, the age and the department of origin were identified. Considering these features, we analyzed the potential of machine learning methods for predicting whether a patient will develop a MDR germ during the first 48 h from the ICU admission. Though the results presented here are just a first incursion into this problem, artificial intelligence approaches have a great impact in this scenario, especially when enriching the set of features from the electronic health records.
Insights
Artificial intelligence can predict multi-drug resistance (MDR) in Intensive Care Units (ICUs) within 48 hours. This approach identifies key risk factors like patient scores and demographics for early intervention.
Area of Science:
- Medical Informatics
- Infectious Diseases
- Critical Care Medicine
Background:
- Multi-drug resistance (MDR) poses a significant global health threat, particularly in Intensive Care Units (ICUs).
- Current MDR confirmation methods require 48 hours, delaying critical treatment decisions.
- Predicting MDR risk early is crucial for timely intervention in vulnerable ICU patients.
Purpose of the Study:
- To explore artificial intelligence (AI) approaches for predicting MDR risk within the first 48 hours of ICU admission.
- To identify key clinical, demographic, and treatment-related risk factors associated with MDR development in ICUs.
- To evaluate the potential of machine learning (ML) models in forecasting MDR germ emergence.
Main Methods:
- Utilized clinical and demographic data, mechanical ventilation status, and antibiotic exposure within the initial 48 hours of ICU stay.
- Applied three feature selection strategies to identify significant differences between MDR and non-MDR patient groups.
- Developed and analyzed ML models using selected features to predict MDR risk.
Main Results:
- Identified 24 significant features, including SAPS III and Apache II scores, patient age, and department of origin.
- Demonstrated the potential of AI and ML approaches in predicting MDR development.
- Highlighted the value of integrating electronic health record data for enhanced prediction.
Conclusions:
- AI offers a promising avenue for early MDR risk assessment in ICUs, bridging the gap before definitive microbiological results.
- Key patient characteristics and clinical scores can serve as valuable predictors of MDR.
- Further development of AI-driven tools can significantly impact patient management and outcomes in critical care settings.
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