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Updated: Nov 15, 2025

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Published on: May 9, 2025
Prediction of activity and selectivity profiles of human Carbonic Anhydrase inhibitors using machine learning
Annachiara Tinivella1,2, Luca Pinzi1, Giulio Rastelli3
1Department of Life Sciences, University of Modena and Reggio Emilia, Via Giuseppe Campi 103, 41125, Modena, Italy.
Abstract:
The development of selective inhibitors of the clinically relevant human Carbonic Anhydrase (hCA) isoforms IX and XII has become a major topic in drug research, due to their deregulation in several types of cancer. Indeed, the selective inhibition of these two isoforms, especially with respect to the homeostatic isoform II, holds great promise to develop anticancer drugs with limited side effects. Therefore, the development of in silico models able to predict the activity and selectivity against the desired isoform(s) is of central interest. In this work, we have developed a series of machine learning classification models, trained on high confidence data extracted from ChEMBL, able to predict the activity and selectivity profiles of ligands for human Carbonic Anhydrase isoforms II, IX and XII. The training datasets were built with a procedure that made use of flexible bioactivity thresholds to obtain well-balanced active and inactive classes. We used multiple algorithms and sampling sizes to finally select activity models able to classify active or inactive molecules with excellent performances. Remarkably, the results herein reported turned out to be better than those obtained by models built with the classic approach of selecting an a priori activity threshold. The sequential application of such validated models enables virtual screening to be performed in a fast and more reliable way to predict the activity and selectivity profiles against the investigated isoforms.
Insights
Machine learning models accurately predict human Carbonic Anhydrase (hCA) IX and XII activity and selectivity. These models offer a faster, more reliable approach for developing targeted anti-cancer drugs with fewer side effects.
Area of Science:
- Medicinal Chemistry
- Computational Chemistry
- Drug Discovery
Background:
- Deregulation of human Carbonic Anhydrase (hCA) isoforms IX and XII is linked to various cancers.
- Selective inhibition of hCA IX and XII, sparing hCA II, is a promising strategy for developing targeted anticancer therapies with reduced side effects.
- Accurate in silico models are crucial for predicting ligand activity and selectivity against specific hCA isoforms.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop and validate machine learning classification models for predicting the activity and selectivity of ligands against hCA isoforms II, IX, and XII.
- To improve upon traditional methods by utilizing flexible bioactivity thresholds for dataset balancing.
- To enable faster and more reliable virtual screening for potential anticancer drug candidates.
Main Methods:
- Development of machine learning classification models using high-confidence data from ChEMBL.
- Creation of training datasets with flexible bioactivity thresholds to ensure balanced active and inactive classes.
- Evaluation of multiple algorithms and sampling sizes to select high-performing models.
Main Results:
- Machine learning models demonstrated excellent performance in classifying active and inactive molecules for hCA isoforms.
- The developed models outperformed those created using conventional a priori activity threshold methods.
- The sequential application of validated models facilitates efficient and dependable virtual screening.
Conclusions:
- Validated machine learning models provide a robust tool for predicting hCA ligand activity and selectivity.
- These models enhance the efficiency and reliability of virtual screening in anticancer drug discovery.
- The approach offers a significant advancement in the development of selective hCA inhibitors for cancer therapy.
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