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Updated: Nov 15, 2025

Watershed Planning within a Quantitative Scenario Analysis Framework
Published on: July 24, 2016
Modification of the third phase in the framework for vertebrate species persistence in urban mosaic environments
Colleen T Downs1, Jarryd Alexander2, Mark Brown2
1Centre for Functional Biodiversity, School of Life Sciences, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Scottsville, P/Bag X01, Pietermaritzburg, 3209, South Africa. downs@ukzn.ac.za.
Abstract:
Urbanisation is rapidly transforming natural landscapes with consequences for biodiversity. Little is documented on the response of African wildlife to urbanisation. We reviewed case studies of vertebrate species' responses to urbanisation in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa to determine trends. Connected habitat mosaics of natural and anthropogenic green spaces are critical for urban wildlife persistence. We present a novel modification to the final of three phases of the framework described by Evans et al. (2010), which documents this sequence for vertebrate species persistence, based on the perspective of our research. Species in suburbia exhibit an initial phase where behavioural and ecological flexibility, life-history traits and phenotypic plasticity either contribute to their success, or they stay at low numbers. Where successful, the next phase is a rapid increase in populations and distribution; anthropogenic food resources and alternate breeding sites are effectively exploited. The modified third phase either continues to spread, plateau or decline.
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