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Published on: March 8, 2024
Hematological and Inflammatory Parameters to Predict the Prognosis in COVID-19
1Department of Hematology, Umraniye Training and Research Hospital, Elmalıkent Mh. Adem Yavuz Cd. No: 1 Ümraniye, İstanbul, Turkey.
Insights
Hematological and inflammatory markers like neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio predict mortality in COVID-19 patients. Advanced age, hypertension, and elevated activated partial thromboplastin time also indicate higher mortality risk.
Area of Science:
- Medical Science
- Infectious Diseases
- Hematology
Background:
- COVID-19 poses significant mortality risks, necessitating identification of predictive biomarkers.
- Understanding factors influencing COVID-19 outcomes is crucial for patient management.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the predictive capability of hematological and inflammatory markers for mortality in hospitalized COVID-19 patients.
- To identify independent predictors of mortality in this patient cohort.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective study of 302 hospitalized COVID-19 patients (March-May 2020).
- Analysis of demographic data, comorbidities, and laboratory parameters including complete blood counts, inflammatory markers (CRP, ferritin, procalcitonin), and coagulation profiles (PT, aPTT, INR, D-dimer).
- Logistic regression analysis to determine independent predictors of mortality.
Main Results:
- Mortality rate was 8.2% (25/302 patients).
- Deceased patients exhibited significantly higher white blood cell count, neutrophil count, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, C-reactive protein, procalcitonin, D-dimer, ferritin, prothrombin time, activated partial thromboplastin time, and international normalized ratio.
- Logistic regression identified age > 65 years, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, activated partial thromboplastin time, and hypertension as independent predictors of mortality.
Conclusions:
- Hematological and inflammatory parameters, alongside coagulation markers, are significantly altered in non-surviving COVID-19 patients.
- Age > 65 years, hypertension, elevated activated partial thromboplastin time, and a high neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio are independent predictors of mortality in COVID-19.
- The severity of COVID-19 correlates with the rate of abnormal inflammatory and hematologic-coagulation parameters.
Abstract:
We aimed to evaluate the predictive ability of hematological and inflammatory parameters for mortality in COVID-19 patients. This was a retrospective study of hospitalized COVID-19 patients over 18 years old between March 2020 and May 2020. Patients were diagnosed to have COVID-19 based either on chest computed tomography findings or reverse transcriptase-polymerase chain reaction test. Age, gender, chronic medical conditions, and laboratory values including hemogram parameters (white blood cell, neutrophil, lymphocyte, and platelet counts), neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio, D-dimer, ferritin, fibrinogen, C-reactive protein, procalcitonin, prothrombin time, activated partial thromboplastin time and the international normalized ratio were recorded. Overall, we included 302 patients. Of these, 148 patients were male; the male to female ratio was 0.961. The mean age of the entire study cohort was 57.1 ± 17.6 years. The most common chronic medical condition was hypertension (38.1%). Half of the patients received low molecular weight heparin. During the study period, 25 patients (8.2%) died. White blood cell count and neutrophil count were significantly higher, whereas lymphocyte count was significantly lower in the deceased patients. The median neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio was 11.6 in the deceased patients, it was significantly higher than the surviving patients (p < 0.001). The values of C-reactive protein, procalcitonin, D-dimer, and ferritin were significantly higher among the deceased patients. Prothrombin time, activated partial thromboplastin time and the international normalized ratio were significantly longer in the deceased group compared with the surviving group. Logistic regression analysis showed age > 65 years, neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio, activated partial thromboplastin time, and hypertension as the independent predictors of mortality. The rate of abnormal inflammatory and hematologic-coagulation parameters increased with the COVID-19 severity. Age > 65 years, hypertension, activated partial thromboplastin time and neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio were the independent predictors of mortality.
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