Hematological and Inflammatory Parameters to Predict the Prognosis in COVID-19

Hakan Keski1

  • 1Department of Hematology, Umraniye Training and Research Hospital, Elmalıkent Mh. Adem Yavuz Cd. No: 1 Ümraniye, İstanbul, Turkey.

Insights

Hematological and inflammatory markers like neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio predict mortality in COVID-19 patients. Advanced age, hypertension, and elevated activated partial thromboplastin time also indicate higher mortality risk.

Area of Science:

  • Medical Science
  • Infectious Diseases
  • Hematology

Background:

  • COVID-19 poses significant mortality risks, necessitating identification of predictive biomarkers.
  • Understanding factors influencing COVID-19 outcomes is crucial for patient management.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To evaluate the predictive capability of hematological and inflammatory markers for mortality in hospitalized COVID-19 patients.
  • To identify independent predictors of mortality in this patient cohort.

Main Methods:

  • Retrospective study of 302 hospitalized COVID-19 patients (March-May 2020).
  • Analysis of demographic data, comorbidities, and laboratory parameters including complete blood counts, inflammatory markers (CRP, ferritin, procalcitonin), and coagulation profiles (PT, aPTT, INR, D-dimer).
  • Logistic regression analysis to determine independent predictors of mortality.

Main Results:

  • Mortality rate was 8.2% (25/302 patients).
  • Deceased patients exhibited significantly higher white blood cell count, neutrophil count, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, C-reactive protein, procalcitonin, D-dimer, ferritin, prothrombin time, activated partial thromboplastin time, and international normalized ratio.
  • Logistic regression identified age > 65 years, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, activated partial thromboplastin time, and hypertension as independent predictors of mortality.

Conclusions:

  • Hematological and inflammatory parameters, alongside coagulation markers, are significantly altered in non-surviving COVID-19 patients.
  • Age > 65 years, hypertension, elevated activated partial thromboplastin time, and a high neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio are independent predictors of mortality in COVID-19.
  • The severity of COVID-19 correlates with the rate of abnormal inflammatory and hematologic-coagulation parameters.

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