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Under-reported COVID-19 cases in South Asian countries
Soban Qadir Khan1, Imran Alam Moheet2,3, Faraz Ahmed Farooqi4,5
1Department of Dental Education College of Dentistry, Imam Abdulrahman Bin Faisal University (IAU), Dammam, Saudi Arabia.
F1000Research
|April 5, 2021
Summary
South Asian countries reported fewer COVID-19 cases than Western nations, but testing rates were significantly lower. Increased diagnostic testing and strict adherence to social distancing are crucial for managing the pandemic.
Area of Science:
- Epidemiology
- Public Health
- Infectious Disease
Background:
- The COVID-19 pandemic presented a global health crisis.
- Understanding disease progression across diverse regions is vital for effective public health strategies.
Purpose of the Study:
- To compare the trends in COVID-19 progression between South Asian and developed Western countries.
- To analyze the relationship between testing capacity and reported cases in South Asia.
Main Methods:
- Observational study utilizing COVID-19 data from South Asian countries up to April 21, 2020.
- Inclusion of four out of seven South Asian countries based on predefined criteria.
- Statistical analysis to determine correlations between reported cases and diagnostic tests.
Main Results:
- An exponential rise in weekly COVID-19 cases was observed after the fifth week post-outbreak.
- A strong, significant positive correlation (r=0.90, p=0.037) was found between reported cases and testing numbers.
- Diagnostic testing rates in South Asia were substantially lower (at least 12 times less) than in high-case Western countries.
Conclusions:
- South Asian countries reported significantly fewer confirmed COVID-19 cases compared to Western nations.
- A substantial increase in diagnostic testing capacity is strongly recommended for South Asian countries.
- Enhanced public compliance with social distancing and preventive measures is essential for pandemic control.
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