Risk assessment of parasites in Norwegian drinking water: opportunities and challenges

Despite the relative prosperity of Scandinavian countries, contamination of the drinking water supply with parasites has occurred on various occasions in the last few decades. These events have resulted in outbreaks of disease involving several thousand cases and/or the necessity for implementation of boil-water advisories. Against this background, in 2008, and again in 2019, the Norwegian Food Safety Authority requested a risk assessment from an independent scientific body regarding parasites in Norwegian drinking water. On each occasion, it was requested that specific questions were addressed. For the first assessment, data, both of general relevance and specific for Norway, were collected from appropriate sources, as available. Based on some of this information, a quantitative probability model was established and run to estimate the number of cases of waterborne cryptosporidiosis and giardiasis that may be expected in Norway, both in the general public and the immunocompromised, and under conditions where water treatment should be optimal, and also when water treatment efficacy may be compromised by weather conditions. For the second assessment, approximately a decade after the first, an update on the previous assessment was requested. Differences in information availability and other changes between the two assessments were described; although more data were available at the second assessment, considerable gaps still remained. For both assessments, data on the occurrence of these parasites in the Norwegian population, particularly those infected in Norway, were considered a challenge. However, due to changes in reporting requirements in 2020, the situation was improved for the second assessment. In addition, data were lacking for both assessments on whether animals or humans are most likely to contaminate water sources, and the species and genotypes of these parasites in Norwegian animals. It was also noted that some of the newer data on parasite numbers detected in water samples should be treated with caution. Due to this, further modelling was not conducted. The relevance of risk-based sampling rather than ad hoc sampling of water sources was also addressed. Despite the data gaps, this article provides an overview of the opportunities provided by conducting such assessments. In addition, some of the challenges encountered in attempting to estimate the risk posed from parasite contamination of water sources in Norway, particularly under predicted conditions of climate change, are described.