Predictive model containing PI-RADS v2 score for postoperative seminal vesicle invasion among prostate cancer...

Seminal vesicle invasion (SVI) is considered to be one of most adverse prognostic findings in prostate cancer, affecting the biochemical progression-free survival and disease-specific survival. Multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging (mpMRI) has shown excellent specificity in diagnosis of SVI, but with poor sensitivity. The aim of this study is to create a model that includes the Prostate Imaging Reporting and Data System version 2 (PI-RADS v2) score to predict postoperative SVI in patients without SVI on preoperative mpMRI.

A total of 262 prostate cancer patients without SVI on preoperative mpMRI who underwent radical prostatectomy (RP) at our institution from January 2012 to July 2019 were enrolled retrospectively. The prostate-specific antigen levels in all patients were <10 ng/mL. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to assess factors associated with SVI, including the PI-RADS v2 score. A regression coefficient-based model was built for predicting SVI. The receiver operating characteristic curve was used to assess the performance of the model.

SVI was reported on the RP specimens in 30 patients (11.5%). The univariate and multivariate analyses revealed that biopsy Gleason grade group (GGG) and the PI-RADS v2 score were significant independent predictors of SVI (all P<0.05). The area under the curve of the model was 0.746 (P<0.001). The PI-RADS v2 score <4 and Gleason grade <8 yielded only a 1.8% incidence of SVI with a high negative predictive value of 98.2% (95% CI, 93.0-99.6%).

The PI-RADS v2 score <4 in prostate cancer patients with prostate-specific antigen level <10 ng/mL is associated with a very low risk of SVI. A model based on biopsy Gleason grade and PI-RADS v2 score may help to predict SVI and serve as a tool for the urologists to make surgical plans.