Prediction of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality using central hemodynamic indices among elderly people:

Tarsila Vieceli1, Bárbara Brambilla2, Raphael Quintana Pereira3

  • 1MD, MSc. Internal Medicine Resident, Hospital de Clínicas de Porto Alegre, Porto Alegre (RS), Brazil.

Insights

Central hemodynamic indices like aortic pulse wave velocity (aPWV) and central systolic blood pressure (SBP) can predict all-cause mortality in older adults. Brachial-ankle PWV (baPWV) and central SBP also predict cardiovascular mortality, supporting their use in risk assessment.

Area of Science:

  • Cardiology
  • Geriatrics
  • Public Health

Background:

  • Central blood pressure assessment is widely used but its predictive value in the elderly is not well-established.
  • Understanding the prognostic capability of central hemodynamic indices in older populations is crucial for cardiovascular risk stratification.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To evaluate the ability of central hemodynamic indices to predict future all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in elderly individuals.
  • To provide evidence supporting the clinical utility of central blood pressure measurements in geriatric populations.

Main Methods:

  • A systematic review and meta-analysis was conducted, analyzing 35 studies.
  • Included studies focused on patients aged 60 years and older and reported at least one central hemodynamic index.
  • Data from 312 full-text articles were systematically reviewed.

Main Results:

  • Aortic pulse wave velocity (aPWV) and central systolic blood pressure (SBP) were significant predictors of all-cause mortality.
  • Brachial-ankle PWV (baPWV), central SBP, and carotid-femoral PWV (cfPWV) were significant predictors of cardiovascular mortality.
  • Specific standardized mean differences (SMD) and confidence intervals were reported for each significant predictor.

Conclusions:

  • aPWV shows promise for predicting all-cause mortality in the elderly.
  • baPWV and central SBP consistently predict cardiovascular mortality outcomes in older adults.
  • Findings support the use of central blood pressure measurements as a valuable tool for predicting hard outcomes in the elderly.
Abstract

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